Spike bucket
09/12/2026, 11:14:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/12/2026, 11:14:00 P.M. to 09/12/2026, 11:15:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 39,666.41
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
4.9x above local average
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
39,666.41 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 39666 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 11:14:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
19,998.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0023473070c57667c66846e8766707DF666E2F84
Net sender
Unknown type
9,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000c9B0C3F548cE7974cDBf1D20c8B506dA2F8c3
Net receiver
Unknown type
9,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
7,167.95 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 19,998.46 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
3,131.71 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/12/2026, 11:13:34 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate6 tx
39,666.41 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/12/2026, 11:14:45 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/12/2026, 11:12:23 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 2 addresses
09/12/2026, 11:15:56 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/12/2026, 11:11:12 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/12/2026, 11:17:09 P.M.
-4 min
7 tx
21,298.13 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/12/2026, 11:10:01 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
1,000 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/12/2026, 11:18:20 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.46 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 11:14:37 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
3,500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 11:14:42 P.M.
From: 0x00178C0F108fD084E7706CdCfF47cc08e5162CD6
To: 0x006a476416597fccE611546edb04D9275523a13D
Tx: 0x002b0070fca925482fead4b492934e8290c1b7427f1ed1424e1627563efec214
19,998.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 11:14:37 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0045004a3c52162d52a8aba86d9ffa917483761f7ed5b4c43629d1b48b439bb6
783.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 11:14:37 P.M.
From: 0x00729CEb2494376F500eA516350C2B1da652f09e
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005b0021bc175aeeb065854234a87c3a6f6060fc201dbf8e4828e32764964f8c
6,366.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 11:14:37 P.M.
From: 0x0073d240D6420B62d7A5FBe46092516EB4d20D6f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0036005fd62edfb80a324f1e08d49faeecb7f735c3cadbe634278cbe8fd6f580
17.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 11:14:37 P.M.
From: 0x005d21cF46a3a97FeDc9324E7A41fB5b5fe48274
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004c0034565da66c0825f1e41a03037751d26827082093354ec581c75c4277a0
9,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 11:14:07 P.M.
From: 0x0023473070c57667c66846e8766707DF666E2F84
To: 0x000c9B0C3F548cE7974cDBf1D20c8B506dA2F8c3
Tx: 0x006a0073b575d70849cdd99036018e2d5b223a7f72f6482e28adcc9673473f3d