Spike bucket
09/12/2026, 11:06:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/12/2026, 11:06:00 P.M. to 09/12/2026, 11:07:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 881.53
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 98% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
14.53 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002D0166a9C7289ACAb09B0d90E9f00A48e34C4f • 0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 15 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002D0166a9C7289ACAb09B0d90E9f00A48e34C4f • 0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 11:06:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002D0166a9C7289ACAb09B0d90E9f00A48e34C4f
Net sender
Unknown type
867 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66
Net receiver
Unknown type
867 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Net sender
Unknown type
11.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Net receiver
Unknown type
11.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003B61739Dc36317d73338BC81169C9B36138C7c
Net sender
Unknown type
3.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
14.53 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/12/2026, 11:06:28 P.M.
-1 min
23 tx
5,311.39 QUAI • 32 addresses
09/12/2026, 11:05:13 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
66.01 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/12/2026, 11:04:01 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
867 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/12/2026, 11:07:39 P.M.
-3 min
55 tx
1,481.47 QUAI • 66 addresses
09/12/2026, 11:02:50 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/12/2026, 11:08:50 P.M.
-4 min
52 tx
1,213.2 QUAI • 65 addresses
09/12/2026, 11:01:39 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate7 tx
21,298.13 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/12/2026, 11:10:01 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
867 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 11:06:47 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002D0166a9C7289ACAb09B0d90E9f00A48e34C4f
To: 0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
867 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 11:06:47 P.M.
From: 0x002D0166a9C7289ACAb09B0d90E9f00A48e34C4f
To: 0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66
Tx: 0x000a003e175c79e80926bcfd4e457479c03cad4b0cace3b462413bd79661b69e
11.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 11:06:19 P.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x0003001ce938a88530b9535b4dbe899a536a359b2bb40326773036cec29e9bed
3.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 11:06:19 P.M.
From: 0x003B61739Dc36317d73338BC81169C9B36138C7c
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x0013000122640f93f8406b4f8e74ed03b805b14fffaac4aa2e6e1ab96d16c622