Spike bucket
09/12/2026, 10:48:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/12/2026, 10:48:00 P.M. to 09/12/2026, 10:49:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 56.43
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 89% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0023473070c57667c66846e8766707DF666E2F84 • 0x0005D8dc0c86d530E703616Bf01e33929fea4c5b.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0023473070c57667c66846e8766707DF666E2F84 • 0x0005D8dc0c86d530E703616Bf01e33929fea4c5b.
0x0023473070c57667c66846e8766707DF666E2F84 -> 0x0005D8dc0c86d530E703616Bf01e33929fea4c5b (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 10:48:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0023473070c57667c66846e8766707DF666E2F84
Net sender
Unknown type
52.94 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0005D8dc0c86d530E703616Bf01e33929fea4c5b
Net receiver
Unknown type
52.94 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
Net sender
Unknown type
3.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
Net receiver
Unknown type
3.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0023473070c57667c66846e8766707DF666E2F84 → 0x0005D8dc0c86d530E703616Bf01e33929fea4c5b
3 repeated flows • 52.94 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
580.59 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/12/2026, 10:47:22 P.M.
+1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/12/2026, 10:48:33 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/12/2026, 10:46:11 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
56.43 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/12/2026, 10:49:44 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate14 tx
16,773.03 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/12/2026, 10:44:59 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
1,710.25 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/12/2026, 10:43:46 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/12/2026, 10:52:03 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
1,569.05 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/12/2026, 10:42:35 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
50 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 10:48:59 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0023473070c57667c66846e8766707DF666E2F84
To: 0x0005D8dc0c86d530E703616Bf01e33929fea4c5b
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
50 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 10:48:59 P.M.
From: 0x0023473070c57667c66846e8766707DF666E2F84
To: 0x0005D8dc0c86d530E703616Bf01e33929fea4c5b
Tx: 0x0061006faf13d43c3043ef81619f3a85d4992c9dec407f94d6ec58c75f63e2be
1.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 10:48:31 P.M.
From: 0x0023473070c57667c66846e8766707DF666E2F84
To: 0x0005D8dc0c86d530E703616Bf01e33929fea4c5b
Tx: 0x0030003acb6fae12a825fe47128bd0e1f6361095fb1ea8d38b8a4061cdd021ab
1.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 10:48:31 P.M.
From: 0x0023473070c57667c66846e8766707DF666E2F84
To: 0x0005D8dc0c86d530E703616Bf01e33929fea4c5b
Tx: 0x001c002cb3c80131a21be8d14d7ba9eb2f66dccc064a7dd7abb76a1b4a3d2933
3.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 10:48:31 P.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
Tx: 0x0038004f2a4940fd661e4eba64e440877be758db197bc11ad553909be53d95d4