Spike bucket
09/12/2026, 10:44:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/12/2026, 10:44:00 P.M. to 09/12/2026, 10:45:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 16,773.03
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 12% of explained volume
Relative context
2.1x above local average
11x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
14
Observable rows
14
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
28
Asset volume
16,773.03 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 16773 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 14 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 10:44:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 14 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
16,773.03 QUAI across 14 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15
Net sender
Unknown type
1,983.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002e219d4DD90Ae25b21E3dc50728D5C70f2Df5A
Net sender
Unknown type
1,973.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0012a84E8afc1AbEdd268719189B092C2615BC51
Net sender
Unknown type
1,837.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00317Fc467ceb612A8ff329d69F6e6EdAF2C8008
Net sender
Unknown type
1,810.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 16,773.03 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
1,710.25 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/12/2026, 10:43:46 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
1,569.05 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/12/2026, 10:42:35 P.M.
+1 min
14 tx
16,773.03 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/12/2026, 10:44:59 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/12/2026, 10:46:11 P.M.
-3 min
9 tx
11,186.06 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/12/2026, 10:41:22 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
580.59 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/12/2026, 10:47:22 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate31 tx
31,818.92 QUAI • 39 addresses
09/12/2026, 10:40:09 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
53.47 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/12/2026, 10:38:58 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,983.42 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 10:44:20 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
14 transactions
1,837.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 10:44:20 P.M.
From: 0x0012a84E8afc1AbEdd268719189B092C2615BC51
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0024002fab5908d281a8f911f811d162e84a54d92a4deec069241453440d8c36
1,983.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 10:44:20 P.M.
From: 0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0076005cf979b62b945e3bef4105faf6b9a95088a5b861b916801483c3f4cc6f
1,436.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 10:44:20 P.M.
From: 0x000C98f8B3680A25CdBD4F5d0aF59b9fd0b83026
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0064003f6f5c9f1f30b4eba890c36f1df079975bdf88d17e94562dad6b93f6cb
554.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 10:44:20 P.M.
From: 0x006dCf03893484bEeB805E2718Fe94B8ADb42847
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002f000e8d7b83f32546119135f9f66067cd6904cec63f88af2abd53eba61a20
554.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 10:44:20 P.M.
From: 0x0049Db8a6b394F0b426b0BC29498DF6a33FA2259
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0037006e1523933e33bba73938041bba49df8fc220a41237e6b6ae28b984a13c
1,113.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 10:44:20 P.M.
From: 0x006B550C549e4Dcc80fC7a8EE7a4a7dB8eFD881f
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00770041b6ec444b3fb7576025b370ade81e00c0c7e30a618c1367df9b81b9f1
766.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 10:44:20 P.M.
From: 0x0044213c6085Bd687803589fa5233aAa0076C20a
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004900265e24114c2d100abc8b9753f7594a6dc3fb986d72707824e6dcdc74fd
1,973.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 10:44:20 P.M.
From: 0x002e219d4DD90Ae25b21E3dc50728D5C70f2Df5A
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0037007cf0b97d215fb75c5a6abdc1a87b30e99d6a2dd980fbe3feb28013af73
593.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 10:44:20 P.M.
From: 0x006843aE3842531829ED6AdBC299F667a54974DE
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0015004ccc9005954c7d5e2d08ec4460a147b2a00a554771cc8e59c8b7a92233
1,810.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 10:44:20 P.M.
From: 0x00317Fc467ceb612A8ff329d69F6e6EdAF2C8008
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000f007215b9dcb4db2402d42c979e56fda74c383b5cb0ec3aa0f996d9eb95e1
1,148 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 10:44:20 P.M.
From: 0x001F8CD2f7B9520bDbE5eC5F2A40b0B7AB6D1298
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0041001950a7f15bfa074631fe1226b4dc89f6350535c1707234adc5633238ba
494.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 10:44:20 P.M.
From: 0x0049579e2c0cECF5ABE48fDa46eB1e096bc7ABb4
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0061001e5235da8109fe498db66ebe58808af32cf44ea1c56624f1660c0c088b
1,597.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 10:44:20 P.M.
From: 0x002Addb54c936e1556bd15f16BE610Cced713b43
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0071002a11a8e84cdf103caa3e749b691d58224f74667c4e36f01f5596502c07
908.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 10:44:20 P.M.
From: 0x0000B8d2bbc8298639c7c40410cDAD7bC93A8442
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00620037d64880443d8c93bb4c526ab4aac863e703f4509f21547d5ae59f0b25
