Spike bucket
09/12/2026, 10:16:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/12/2026, 10:16:00 P.M. to 09/12/2026, 10:17:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 18.3
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 55% of explained volume
Relative context
1.0x above local average
0.1x previous minute
182x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
18.2 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004e272a0608F1e721A7C363B5A68c2ab33f86F9 • 0x0000a98aC87999a7fa21627A5611550277108bf3.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 18 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004e272a0608F1e721A7C363B5A68c2ab33f86F9 • 0x0000a98aC87999a7fa21627A5611550277108bf3.
0x004e272a0608F1e721A7C363B5A68c2ab33f86F9 -> 0x0000a98aC87999a7fa21627A5611550277108bf3 (5 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 10:16:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004e272a0608F1e721A7C363B5A68c2ab33f86F9
Net sender
Unknown type
18.3 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x0000a98aC87999a7fa21627A5611550277108bf3
Net receiver
Unknown type
18.3 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x004e272a0608F1e721A7C363B5A68c2ab33f86F9 → 0x0000a98aC87999a7fa21627A5611550277108bf3
5 repeated flows • 18.3 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
18.2 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/12/2026, 10:16:25 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate2 tx
129.83 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/12/2026, 10:15:13 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/12/2026, 10:14:02 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0.1 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/12/2026, 10:17:35 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/12/2026, 10:12:51 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/12/2026, 10:18:45 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/12/2026, 10:11:38 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/12/2026, 10:19:56 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
10 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 10:16:09 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004e272a0608F1e721A7C363B5A68c2ab33f86F9
To: 0x0000a98aC87999a7fa21627A5611550277108bf3
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
0.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 10:16:38 P.M.
From: 0x004e272a0608F1e721A7C363B5A68c2ab33f86F9
To: 0x0000a98aC87999a7fa21627A5611550277108bf3
Tx: 0x001e00471e62101f6c43a3996b1d4705f626222e95f4b7790a56ba10977c7f3b
0.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 10:16:20 P.M.
From: 0x004e272a0608F1e721A7C363B5A68c2ab33f86F9
To: 0x0000a98aC87999a7fa21627A5611550277108bf3
Tx: 0x000300777742a2c046fda3ec4bddacfa4b7e638f95f3706db2876ac5e5ab7bf7
0.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 10:16:20 P.M.
From: 0x004e272a0608F1e721A7C363B5A68c2ab33f86F9
To: 0x0000a98aC87999a7fa21627A5611550277108bf3
Tx: 0x0001007d098932b39d7f411fb54bbc67d381a89670da0469e6af4feb53f321dd
8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 10:16:11 P.M.
From: 0x004e272a0608F1e721A7C363B5A68c2ab33f86F9
To: 0x0000a98aC87999a7fa21627A5611550277108bf3
Tx: 0x0026007704b0db0b5599d9b551f9540ac0462ff78813b1e6897c63f037aa11cc
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 10:16:09 P.M.
From: 0x004e272a0608F1e721A7C363B5A68c2ab33f86F9
To: 0x0000a98aC87999a7fa21627A5611550277108bf3
Tx: 0x001500623b7d375114902823c745e61bba8e952d20aab9991737f32f209ae6af