Spike bucket
09/12/2026, 10:04:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/12/2026, 10:04:00 P.M. to 09/12/2026, 10:05:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 75.51
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 22% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 10:04:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
75.51 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
Net sender
Unknown type
16.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007114Cc7beEb377eC72cd2C5717Bbf2dbf56e78
Net sender
Unknown type
15.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000Ddec2aDbe15C20b25198596a3BfB0DD59f973
Net sender
Unknown type
15.89 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0038797E44cCBbE9D76347DC75A71448386543B6
Net sender
Unknown type
15.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate52 tx
1,833.46 QUAI • 66 addresses
09/12/2026, 10:03:20 P.M.
+1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/12/2026, 10:04:32 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/12/2026, 10:02:09 P.M.
+2 min
32 tx
1,128.53 QUAI • 46 addresses
09/12/2026, 10:05:44 P.M.
-3 min
50 tx
539.81 QUAI • 64 addresses
09/12/2026, 10:00:53 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
13.46 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/12/2026, 10:06:55 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
150 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/12/2026, 9:59:41 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/12/2026, 10:08:05 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
16.7 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 10:04:35 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
15.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 10:04:35 P.M.
From: 0x0038797E44cCBbE9D76347DC75A71448386543B6
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0031006da94ee63d7b4e6a1dafa968e7a8e1c8a0df549c2420179ac99e1615c8
15.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 10:04:35 P.M.
From: 0x000Ddec2aDbe15C20b25198596a3BfB0DD59f973
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0056002ad68b5e3c9565dbf178c0e396c59f49b7f99305a23d34137c60cc1e67
11.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 10:04:35 P.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0029005540043bc7026b48332c63a43aa527abe175241a04f65a0c7ddead042c
16.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 10:04:35 P.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0044002fa47043968db6a85f618b5413a33e58b46223581e8210f7b4df8d8378
15.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 10:04:35 P.M.
From: 0x007114Cc7beEb377eC72cd2C5717Bbf2dbf56e78
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000f001a0eae3695f36df64af0a206b65195f7ad99e1875ea12c79612d60ad20
