Spike bucket
09/12/2026, 8:52:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/12/2026, 8:52:00 P.M. to 09/12/2026, 8:53:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 51,939.06
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 59% of explained volume
Relative context
1.9x above local average
1.2x previous minute
0.6x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
19,999.01 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001BBc094C7777Cb590641ff08BfF8f4849E565c • 0x0048D19B4049F47E4e0DC7382d5007D257910589.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 19999 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001BBc094C7777Cb590641ff08BfF8f4849E565c • 0x0048D19B4049F47E4e0DC7382d5007D257910589.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 8:52:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001BBc094C7777Cb590641ff08BfF8f4849E565c
Net sender
Unknown type
30,515.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0048D19B4049F47E4e0DC7382d5007D257910589
Net receiver
Unknown type
30,515.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net sender
Unknown type
1,424.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
19,999.01 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/12/2026, 8:52:06 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
16,960 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/12/2026, 8:50:55 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate2 tx
31,940.05 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/12/2026, 8:53:18 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/12/2026, 8:49:44 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/12/2026, 8:54:28 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/12/2026, 8:48:34 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
17,009.91 QUAI • 4 addresses
09/12/2026, 8:55:39 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/12/2026, 8:47:23 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
30,515.45 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 8:52:49 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001BBc094C7777Cb590641ff08BfF8f4849E565c
To: 0x0048D19B4049F47E4e0DC7382d5007D257910589
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
30,515.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 8:52:49 P.M.
From: 0x001BBc094C7777Cb590641ff08BfF8f4849E565c
To: 0x0048D19B4049F47E4e0DC7382d5007D257910589
Tx: 0x0012003d8150e5c5bcd42d6df4798c6d9fc6170de3543ab2d7520cfb6cedd227
1,424.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 8:52:30 P.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E
Tx: 0x00500057adaf38e4470d29e65a0e7c5ab0c13898e3eb5feb56a1b1bf5e36d330
19,999.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 8:52:04 P.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x0067002ad82fb0ea13bb8a90888324c85a728fe680af71ec0a11b762738f3ed9