Spike bucket
09/12/2026, 8:27:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/12/2026, 8:27:00 P.M. to 09/12/2026, 8:28:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 29,998.44
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 67% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 8:27:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
19,998.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00590c36C6D27bceb08b7d4Ca7F4FbeE8dC21D12
Net sender
Unknown type
10,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0029D9156E44DAdCBd6f7CCC591de1dE507A0F38
Net receiver
Unknown type
10,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 19,998.44 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/12/2026, 8:27:12 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/12/2026, 8:26:01 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate2 tx
29,998.44 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/12/2026, 8:28:23 P.M.
-2 min
5 tx
150.79 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/12/2026, 8:24:48 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
19,999 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/12/2026, 8:23:36 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
9,998.53 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/12/2026, 8:29:35 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/12/2026, 8:30:46 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/12/2026, 8:22:26 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.44 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 8:27:22 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
10,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 8:27:45 P.M.
From: 0x00590c36C6D27bceb08b7d4Ca7F4FbeE8dC21D12
To: 0x0029D9156E44DAdCBd6f7CCC591de1dE507A0F38
Tx: 0x005e005e20090019b591eaaa6d9664fa74cd15a0971a29eceb2c1bd60049e097
19,998.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 8:27:22 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00660011398641c04a723f6f5d4dcbab22f4da3e88fd3ffdb3a45a75600ad174