Spike bucket
09/12/2026, 8:04:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/12/2026, 8:04:00 P.M. to 09/12/2026, 8:05:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 345.7
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 34% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
10
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
38.44 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 38 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 8:04:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
293.87 QUAI across 8 visible rows
0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Net receiver
Unknown type
117.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
100.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005398A4FE3cf7BFB016174334eb6bBe223B8E77
Net receiver
Unknown type
41.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
Net sender
Unknown type
35.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate53 tx
40,879.5 QUAI • 65 addresses
09/12/2026, 8:03:26 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
38.44 QUAI • 8 addresses
09/12/2026, 8:04:40 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/12/2026, 8:02:15 P.M.
+2 min
10 tx
345.7 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/12/2026, 8:05:51 P.M.
-3 min
51 tx
20,843.89 QUAI • 58 addresses
09/12/2026, 8:01:04 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
10.85 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/12/2026, 8:07:02 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/12/2026, 7:59:53 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/12/2026, 8:08:12 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
117.33 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 8:04:48 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
117.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 8:04:48 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Tx: 0x0058003a7900602bf936c7a483db684560afb00863d5e7f5da7c2dbafe0f0e5d
5.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 8:04:48 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x000f5c2d2500087d3e26357402170042be0367f5
Tx: 0x0024004db1a8ddc4e0430818b7f3090543e84c0b9aca4611ee58e0d22bb8c9f6
41.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 8:04:48 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005398A4FE3cf7BFB016174334eb6bBe223B8E77
Tx: 0x001000136d13f9c801b8b2d9d1d552a4881ab3ec37242b6074c4ac81cb50ca03
5.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 8:04:48 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00087Fb8DB4DdC1E2a6823C53C5c2b17C78dC149
Tx: 0x00010064b742c17bd7eb489f650651afd61af99081a626157aaea9f00ab77998
11.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 8:04:48 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00328109A23E368e65569034d3143E68eF99f8eD
Tx: 0x0074004bedd072cfa62deffa72c19ae3a173073e9cb9e44080adee86299f6125
6.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 8:04:48 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00219Effd4a47bA0d2D24F512D987f3B0B20F23A
Tx: 0x000e005f30651c32627e9d2b26802a0125e3c9fa504a168e7ac671e9f0d40e9f
100.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 8:04:48 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x00010014d295238d6977327cc2e46753d3c99fc61689a86345c52442281fb8ef
4.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 8:04:48 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005d21cF46a3a97FeDc9324E7A41fB5b5fe48274
Tx: 0x005b00750d057e08ff3cb016b00fd2cc52be546e5155e2693909a8d6ae4e0853
16.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 8:04:48 P.M.
From: 0x002e7a2740849Ea995A97e3d4EEf2640C999D00B
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x007a0013fa00cf84f2912e4c672eabad1b3b57f0e7027f0923760d0c512b2546
35.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 8:04:48 P.M.
From: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
To: 0x00063508b741e15F0a10a8c0B5990B2433D01517
Tx: 0x001e00045a64aa9c94ff1b66822b41484e61e7f38275fd0810ccb92e453a2a04
