Spike bucket
09/12/2026, 7:02:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/12/2026, 7:02:00 P.M. to 09/12/2026, 7:03:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 23,808.69
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 84% of explained volume
Relative context
2.4x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
7
Asset volume
23,808.69 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 23809 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 7:02:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
20,308.69 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000c9B0C3F548cE7974cDBf1D20c8B506dA2F8c3
Net sender
Unknown type
3,500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00091f7F869983E800014e2008201f7DAdf9F366
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0079aA7CC4F9315aE17C6A6B429f2008D4aBD379
Net sender
Unknown type
105.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 20,308.69 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate52 tx
51,152.22 QUAI • 67 addresses
09/12/2026, 7:01:51 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/12/2026, 7:00:40 P.M.
+1 min
6 tx
23,814.44 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/12/2026, 7:03:03 P.M.
+2 min
50 tx
880.6 QUAI • 64 addresses
09/12/2026, 7:04:15 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
3,549.69 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/12/2026, 6:59:27 P.M.
+3 min
24 tx
625.38 QUAI • 38 addresses
09/12/2026, 7:05:26 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
102.14 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/12/2026, 6:58:15 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
211.73 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/12/2026, 6:57:04 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.69 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 7:02:53 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
105.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 7:02:53 P.M.
From: 0x0079aA7CC4F9315aE17C6A6B429f2008D4aBD379
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002b00008be70ed40a5a68df4a29fbfe28401bd7e875c7eb82dd893374c426d0
102.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 7:02:53 P.M.
From: 0x00214D85387f7eDC63dD602F4Fd65A218DCa8cf5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00420071956dfb3ce568fdb14e7e84052bab07b8f603925efef1d2ffb873ba3b
101.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 7:02:53 P.M.
From: 0x002d8f38990b571B026d0Ff3905E481069Aae023
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00100008057466216d1d88983279bb850c6ed9c8cffd831eba2aa9a6d60712c5
19,998.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 7:02:53 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002e0006a93b724fca693f2de92657d464bc95190a3e016f4977b98de190e81c
3,500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 7:02:53 P.M.
From: 0x000c9B0C3F548cE7974cDBf1D20c8B506dA2F8c3
To: 0x00091f7F869983E800014e2008201f7DAdf9F366
Tx: 0x00100046ebb06b0ccd6ed590efe5fcc85a2e7ec6bcb8971bb9a63a3e39ab1522