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Inspect spike

Spike bucket

09/12/2026, 6:38:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/12/2026, 6:38:00 P.M. to 09/12/2026, 6:39:00 P.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

79% coverage

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 16,384.44

Unexplained QUAI: 4,241.63

Explained QI: 0

Unexplained QI: 333

Facts

Pattern: Mixed spike

Dominant transfer: 36% of explained volume

Relative context

4.4x above local average

371x previous minute

1.3x next minute

Interpretation

This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.

No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

85.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

20,626.07 QUAI

333 QI

Avg confidence

62.0%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7.

Dominant behavior: distribution

distribution + medium confidence + 20626 QUAI

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Importance score: 45

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7.

No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.

Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows

Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Partial source coverage

Last updated: 09/12/2026, 6:38:00 P.M.

Coverage gap moderate (21% not covered)

Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).

What to do next

Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (distribution).
Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

MEXC hot wallet

Net receiver

Exchange

16,178.42 QUAI across 5 visible rows

Known watch context

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7

Net sender

Unknown type

5,969.33 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0005fB9fd7Ef35F82cbdbD687d0a823d53bb12a8

Net sender

Unknown type

5,724.43 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x004DcDa07447CFb466D886673e43aeD16E150a23

Net sender

Unknown type

2,205.32 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164

Net sender

Unknown type

2,179.49 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.

Type concentration

To exchange: 16,178.42 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

-15 min -5 min -1 min +1 min +5 min +15 min Raw alerts API

6 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 7. The remaining 1 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Nearby active minutes

Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes

Selected minute

Best candidate7 tx

20,626.07 QUAI • 22 addresses

09/12/2026, 6:38:06 P.M.

-1 min

1 tx

55.61 QUAI • 16 addresses

09/12/2026, 6:36:55 P.M.

+1 min

6 tx

16,384.44 QUAI • 20 addresses

09/12/2026, 6:39:21 P.M.

-2 min

1 tx

100.41 QUAI • 8 addresses

09/12/2026, 6:35:44 P.M.

-3 min

0 tx

0 QUAI • 12 addresses

09/12/2026, 6:34:32 P.M.

+3 min

1 tx

10 QUAI • 10 addresses

09/12/2026, 6:40:32 P.M.

+4 min

0 tx

0 QUAI • 14 addresses

09/12/2026, 6:41:43 P.M.

-5 min

0 tx

0 QUAI • 12 addresses

09/12/2026, 6:33:21 P.M.

Biggest whale alert

5,969.33 QUAI

Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale

Cyprus-1

09/12/2026, 6:38:25 P.M.

QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1

From: 0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7

To: MEXC hot wallet

0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a

Exchange

Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

6 transactions

206.02 QUAI

Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence

Cyprus-1

09/12/2026, 6:38:50 P.M.

From: 0x0077aB9c0169E6B1620FaD80F4A2a70ed1E26A5E

To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A

Tx: 0x0000006f6eea5cb962e68026217f11e33483625356b6120d76492d7709add302

Open tx

5,969.33 QUAI

Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale

Cyprus-1

09/12/2026, 6:38:25 P.M.

From: 0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7

To: MEXC hot wallet

0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a

Exchange

Tx: 0x0022003560f51a43abee4568c33e0e030a02b447a0882fd0a274ba0d7c9c56fd

Open txWallet profile

5,724.43 QUAI

Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale

Cyprus-1

09/12/2026, 6:38:25 P.M.

From: 0x0005fB9fd7Ef35F82cbdbD687d0a823d53bb12a8

To: MEXC hot wallet

0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a

Exchange

Tx: 0x0004005ffda247bb1f8edd20ba0812cb081709799711930cb02d66adf8ad2c0d

Open txWallet profile

99.85 QUAI

Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale

Cyprus-1

09/12/2026, 6:38:25 P.M.

From: 0x007e7eecbe669d04C5687cF90692Bd58554Ed18d

To: MEXC hot wallet

0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a

Exchange

Tx: 0x000f000e36b6d57d161e76e87e07e58f3327523b82d0500b5aa547f410f8874c

Open txWallet profile

2,179.49 QUAI

Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale

Cyprus-1

09/12/2026, 6:38:25 P.M.

From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164

To: MEXC hot wallet

0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a

Exchange

Tx: 0x005200585c9f59f5ca5d18313b58b03f15f50e7fb11689d83c81cbbf9d53437f

Open txWallet profile

2,205.32 QUAI

Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale

Cyprus-1

09/12/2026, 6:38:25 P.M.

From: 0x004DcDa07447CFb466D886673e43aeD16E150a23

To: MEXC hot wallet

0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a

Exchange

Tx: 0x0004001ed38d4b76dd9f8979d5b3b861227e34693eae6e9c9d8236c02c6042d5

Open txWallet profile