Spike bucket
09/12/2026, 6:24:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/12/2026, 6:24:00 P.M. to 09/12/2026, 6:25:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 195.44
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 56% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
195.44 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x0078a378efe299Fbb217C0d9Aa34392c197147D6.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 195 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x0078a378efe299Fbb217C0d9Aa34392c197147D6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 6:24:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
195.44 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x0078a378efe299Fbb217C0d9Aa34392c197147D6
Net sender
Unknown type
109.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003946bA3f88eDabc64746C90672a1Aa3BAf6176
Net sender
Unknown type
69.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
Net sender
Unknown type
6.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
Net sender
Unknown type
5.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/12/2026, 6:23:48 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/12/2026, 6:22:37 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
195.44 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/12/2026, 6:24:59 P.M.
+2 min
19 tx
21,686.13 QUAI • 31 addresses
09/12/2026, 6:26:11 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate1 tx
29,994.09 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/12/2026, 6:21:27 P.M.
+3 min
9 tx
10,220.14 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/12/2026, 6:27:23 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/12/2026, 6:20:16 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
13.37 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/12/2026, 6:19:05 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
109.57 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 6:24:35 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0078a378efe299Fbb217C0d9Aa34392c197147D6
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
109.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 6:24:35 P.M.
From: 0x0078a378efe299Fbb217C0d9Aa34392c197147D6
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00550079e1b823f429f80dc78522cdcdf77d8f67dab0b9507507e52d1f66ff3d
3.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 6:24:35 P.M.
From: 0x00087Fb8DB4DdC1E2a6823C53C5c2b17C78dC149
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005b00351114cc052c61d3340f082c459de3af986d8cec5dc86dd2ee03d74b41
69.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 6:24:35 P.M.
From: 0x003946bA3f88eDabc64746C90672a1Aa3BAf6176
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0062002f2b202691a4a2e807f72bfb05a3bf480e0642a88b16f9719b3ccfa521
5.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 6:24:24 P.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003c00496c1dddf18777999b006289b1876391c84866527fad63407e06896e5e
6.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 6:24:24 P.M.
From: 0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x006a00348737acf82e9aaefec3e04bef7224ab94ebf575bc8883ac0970f21ae2