Spike bucket
09/12/2026, 6:11:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/12/2026, 6:11:00 P.M. to 09/12/2026, 6:12:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
50% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 100
Unexplained QUAI: 100.36
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 3.53
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
1
33.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
200.36 QUAI
3.53 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x005A3560C44e506626A26352466429cC963F9fB7 • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 200 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x005A3560C44e506626A26352466429cC963F9fB7 • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 6:11:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (50% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (50%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x005A3560C44e506626A26352466429cC963F9fB7
Net sender
Unknown type
100 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Net receiver
Unknown type
100 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/12/2026, 6:10:43 P.M.
-1 min
9 tx
3,506.26 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/12/2026, 6:09:31 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
200.36 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/12/2026, 6:11:56 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/12/2026, 6:13:08 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
3.85 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/12/2026, 6:08:18 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/12/2026, 6:14:18 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
10.94 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/12/2026, 6:07:07 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate21 tx
22,156.7 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/12/2026, 6:05:53 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
100 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 6:11:45 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x005A3560C44e506626A26352466429cC963F9fB7
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 6:11:45 P.M.
From: 0x005A3560C44e506626A26352466429cC963F9fB7
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x007e0047fcbfeebe637b99bbbaf319eb452aa6d5d6f113ebb3fc6496ccbb9fad