Spike bucket
09/12/2026, 4:07:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/12/2026, 4:07:00 P.M. to 09/12/2026, 4:08:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
44% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 204.78
Unexplained QUAI: 262.83
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 98% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.6x previous minute
234x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
3
75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
467.6 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x000465572160E50fE61CD3bebE1DD37fcB2C6145 • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 468 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x000465572160E50fE61CD3bebE1DD37fcB2C6145 • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 4:07:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (56% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (44%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x000465572160E50fE61CD3bebE1DD37fcB2C6145
Net sender
Unknown type
202 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Net receiver
Unknown type
200 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
Net sender
Unknown type
2.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Net receiver
Unknown type
2.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Net receiver
Unknown type
2 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
467.6 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/12/2026, 4:07:16 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
850 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/12/2026, 4:06:05 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
2 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/12/2026, 4:08:27 P.M.
-2 min
10 tx
240.09 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/12/2026, 4:04:52 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate53 tx
21,774.85 QUAI • 67 addresses
09/12/2026, 4:03:40 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
210.33 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/12/2026, 4:09:42 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/12/2026, 4:10:53 P.M.
-5 min
2 tx
505 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/12/2026, 4:02:28 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
200 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 4:07:08 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x000465572160E50fE61CD3bebE1DD37fcB2C6145
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 4:07:16 P.M.
From: 0x000465572160E50fE61CD3bebE1DD37fcB2C6145
To: 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Tx: 0x002e006497abd67e348e38bc65862551fe86d46eac9bca82df62155b5e02d6f0
200 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 4:07:08 P.M.
From: 0x000465572160E50fE61CD3bebE1DD37fcB2C6145
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x00130072918e3a74a3e984e3cd0532825e1db4ee93d0ddb0edec50f81af9ef73
2.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 4:07:08 P.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Tx: 0x00380006efc927dbbd9466caad449d654a7a59cb4e1b5cd38164aff38b9bcf76