Spike bucket
09/12/2026, 4:06:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/12/2026, 4:06:00 P.M. to 09/12/2026, 4:07:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
31% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 264.83
Unexplained QUAI: 585.17
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 94% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
3.5x previous minute
1.8x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
850 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0019F740D9e1602Ce0e5a5da864E50b8d7d5aB61 • 0x000465572160E50fE61CD3bebE1DD37fcB2C6145.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 850 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0019F740D9e1602Ce0e5a5da864E50b8d7d5aB61 • 0x000465572160E50fE61CD3bebE1DD37fcB2C6145.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 4:06:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (69% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (31%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0019F740D9e1602Ce0e5a5da864E50b8d7d5aB61
Net sender
Unknown type
250 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000465572160E50fE61CD3bebE1DD37fcB2C6145
Net receiver
Unknown type
250 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Net sender
Unknown type
14.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Net receiver
Unknown type
14.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
850 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/12/2026, 4:06:05 P.M.
-1 min
10 tx
240.09 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/12/2026, 4:04:52 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
467.6 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/12/2026, 4:07:16 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate53 tx
21,774.85 QUAI • 67 addresses
09/12/2026, 4:03:40 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
2 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/12/2026, 4:08:27 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
505 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/12/2026, 4:02:28 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
210.33 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/12/2026, 4:09:42 P.M.
-5 min
52 tx
11,009.46 QUAI • 66 addresses
09/12/2026, 4:01:15 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
250 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 4:06:44 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0019F740D9e1602Ce0e5a5da864E50b8d7d5aB61
To: 0x000465572160E50fE61CD3bebE1DD37fcB2C6145
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
250 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 4:06:44 P.M.
From: 0x0019F740D9e1602Ce0e5a5da864E50b8d7d5aB61
To: 0x000465572160E50fE61CD3bebE1DD37fcB2C6145
Tx: 0x0024007f28010de9473532c581dece8ca13b61d39b41b174b6286ea0310f8849
14.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 4:06:05 P.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x0031006b54645e592cfa01bb090bd2a202d042b838f26ca56d941a98e14a238e