Spike bucket
09/12/2026, 3:33:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/12/2026, 3:33:00 P.M. to 09/12/2026, 3:34:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
40% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 997.58
Unexplained QUAI: 1,482.94
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 80% of explained volume
Relative context
2.8x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
2
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
2,480.51 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 2481 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 3:33:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (60% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (40%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.
Top actors in this event
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
997.58 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
Net receiver
Unknown type
795.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0001474fB70709F443d56310A642287aad6BDC72
Net receiver
Unknown type
201.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:32:39 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
2,480.51 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:33:56 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:31:24 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:35:12 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:30:06 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate2 tx
3,030 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:36:28 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
1,483.5 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:28:50 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:27:34 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
795.75 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:33:30 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
201.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:33:30 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0001474fB70709F443d56310A642287aad6BDC72
Tx: 0x007b001e0cef8c91fedf4c604ce5798b98ddfc52cdfb2fb1ecf981d4a58224ef
795.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:33:30 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
Tx: 0x002b0011b2d1011af770d97a0eb34ea09b2235c55144ba37495c6b3a2250bdad