Spike bucket
09/12/2026, 3:25:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/12/2026, 3:25:00 P.M. to 09/12/2026, 3:26:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,293.91
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 26% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
2,293.91 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0000b63F3E349Da2F7A30048A452f8A4278673D9.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 2294 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0000b63F3E349Da2F7A30048A452f8A4278673D9.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 3:25:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
2,293.91 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0000b63F3E349Da2F7A30048A452f8A4278673D9
Net sender
Unknown type
585.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00186A4a9eED5ec68c319bBe83949c15E7916690
Net sender
Unknown type
578.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003337fCEEadb0C33A1F2A658ffAae267459c3Eb
Net sender
Unknown type
569.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007BFCEb5aE09DE70AA0806BA384E684c7226263
Net sender
Unknown type
560.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 2,293.91 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
34 tx
49,951.63 QUAI • 50 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:24:52 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate45 tx
407,208.18 QUAI • 59 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:23:38 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
2,293.91 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:26:12 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:22:27 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:27:34 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
20,734.58 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:21:10 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
1,483.5 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:28:50 P.M.
-5 min
2 tx
20,467.25 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:19:54 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
585.84 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:25:27 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000b63F3E349Da2F7A30048A452f8A4278673D9
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
569.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:25:27 P.M.
From: 0x003337fCEEadb0C33A1F2A658ffAae267459c3Eb
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00760024c04ed3c5dc2bf3bdd0dcd9b2ab0368d3451b5b6f57b79b2072e3c387
560.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:25:27 P.M.
From: 0x007BFCEb5aE09DE70AA0806BA384E684c7226263
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0059006f5ef56b6df2c6db644e2e807675c3fa66aee9f07d7f04013919644a97
585.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:25:27 P.M.
From: 0x0000b63F3E349Da2F7A30048A452f8A4278673D9
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0037005182a820d9e1b5ed43979ba0dbdfe9e84c04b3beeaa50b6d07f764d332
578.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:25:27 P.M.
From: 0x00186A4a9eED5ec68c319bBe83949c15E7916690
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x004a007755b9677dec0aa5eaa67d741180bdc4cdde96e15a35f243d1646e1e9a
