Spike bucket
09/12/2026, 3:15:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/12/2026, 3:15:00 P.M. to 09/12/2026, 3:16:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 768.91
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 62% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
5.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
768.91 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x0008EA36209387a792B561c546FfE4208aef8d7D.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 769 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x0008EA36209387a792B561c546FfE4208aef8d7D.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 3:15:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
473.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0008EA36209387a792B561c546FfE4208aef8d7D
Net receiver
Unknown type
473.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002F97062f6324C696EEEB4105F87f35907e1c6f
Net sender
Unknown type
236 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00426be77EE345CcF47F710739cf9CaaD7e0B458
Net receiver
Unknown type
236 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0003CA8c382Df2689cee94B297dDffC573E30121
Net sender
Unknown type
59.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:14:56 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
152.79 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:13:37 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
768.91 QUAI • 6 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:16:10 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
30 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:17:26 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:12:20 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
150 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:11:04 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate2 tx
30,011 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:18:37 P.M.
-5 min
6 tx
1,063.09 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:09:45 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
473.48 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:15:13 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0008EA36209387a792B561c546FfE4208aef8d7D
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
236 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:15:13 P.M.
From: 0x002F97062f6324C696EEEB4105F87f35907e1c6f
To: 0x00426be77EE345CcF47F710739cf9CaaD7e0B458
Tx: 0x003a001bd57a50f4947c1d989150157eb06be349895cf72eac8bbe92e8c88d75
473.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:15:13 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0008EA36209387a792B561c546FfE4208aef8d7D
Tx: 0x006d00377fe321015a97c467fdbdc58a6e759c0064cf9847fcc116834e94e0f2
59.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:15:13 P.M.
From: 0x0003CA8c382Df2689cee94B297dDffC573E30121
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0039004f8857c96db9a5a4316453ad1bd971c33c644c9368fd7055af326ada61