Spike bucket
09/12/2026, 3:08:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/12/2026, 3:08:00 P.M. to 09/12/2026, 3:09:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,063.09
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 51% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004C646f03F6F73883143110bc99F423819F00b6 • 0x000c1d93577F38C71AA5Ad096D95eB2db1bF7477.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004C646f03F6F73883143110bc99F423819F00b6 • 0x000c1d93577F38C71AA5Ad096D95eB2db1bF7477.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 3:08:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004C646f03F6F73883143110bc99F423819F00b6
Net sender
Unknown type
551.46 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000c1d93577F38C71AA5Ad096D95eB2db1bF7477
Net receiver
Unknown type
546 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
507.54 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772
Net sender
Unknown type
304.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0052Ec5b0c17f72a92c1B12F8276443D917D3900
Net sender
Unknown type
101.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 507.54 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
29 tx
1,298.98 QUAI • 43 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:07:13 P.M.
+1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 6 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:08:30 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:06:02 P.M.
+2 min
6 tx
1,063.09 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:09:45 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
182.46 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:04:44 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
150 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:11:04 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:12:20 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate51 tx
20,532.54 QUAI • 61 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:03:25 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
546 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:08:25 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004C646f03F6F73883143110bc99F423819F00b6
To: 0x000c1d93577F38C71AA5Ad096D95eB2db1bF7477
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
546 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:08:25 P.M.
From: 0x004C646f03F6F73883143110bc99F423819F00b6
To: 0x000c1d93577F38C71AA5Ad096D95eB2db1bF7477
Tx: 0x0042005c42f61ada972496831ebd1c546b81da47c9c7b5bf52933b91e3ba2bfc
5.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:08:25 P.M.
From: 0x004C646f03F6F73883143110bc99F423819F00b6
To: 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Tx: 0x0064003a6bafd2649759792feed0561539d2138aaa611f5e3f884cf1de64e2f9
4.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:08:25 P.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Tx: 0x0020000cce15b3505e9892a0e827e9423429dbc4fd829b1bd055096dd22a5f33
304.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:08:25 P.M.
From: 0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005e00535f2faa9abc5945b195d853d9f86242d07e3e5765f0068e1b935deab7
101.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:08:25 P.M.
From: 0x000cDD7d2F6Ef30215B7f8A8d7c409AdF3935b86
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00090037c3934c1f315b6135f5a790bf78419a7ad977a45d412cb5fce8137035
101.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:08:25 P.M.
From: 0x0052Ec5b0c17f72a92c1B12F8276443D917D3900
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001f004f04f1641c5bf8ce5b3f955b0732d0c14c36b142718290f30661e54d45