Spike bucket
09/12/2026, 2:24:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/12/2026, 2:24:00 P.M. to 09/12/2026, 2:25:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 47,561.61
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
2.5x above local average
5.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
47,444.82 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 47445 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 68
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 2:24:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net sender
Unknown type
47,446.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Net receiver
Unknown type
47,446.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
115.43 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x003976f8c2428e7A79e3679D20920DAD5BFD5D68
Net sender
Unknown type
100.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00042ebf5e2dabBb79A67343711A89B76c7D1c49
Net sender
Unknown type
15.22 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
47,444.82 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:24:10 P.M.
-1 min
8 tx
8,645.63 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:22:59 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
47,561.61 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:25:21 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate4 tx
48,246.18 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:21:40 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:26:32 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
624 QUAI • 4 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:20:24 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:27:42 P.M.
-5 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:19:13 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
47,446.18 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:24:40 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
15.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:24:40 P.M.
From: 0x00042ebf5e2dabBb79A67343711A89B76c7D1c49
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0076005282751d67e150756bd08962e696814d1a2bba301a71f4ef98d8cdadd1
100.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:24:40 P.M.
From: 0x003976f8c2428e7A79e3679D20920DAD5BFD5D68
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x007d000f143cf3e84a95dbe46413e653d8567e8b59416b9d489510467cc61f4a
47,446.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:24:40 P.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Tx: 0x006f006a10a22c0316751c38bbed569c48f404d29c6f2b6578b03e8ceaf54bf6