Spike bucket
09/12/2026, 2:21:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/12/2026, 2:21:00 P.M. to 09/12/2026, 2:22:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 56,091.81
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 350
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 85% of explained volume
Relative context
2.5x above local average
77x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
48,246.18 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003e19458B2CbF01C3Aab693bF3f2601f0c7309A • 0x0047aB151Dd28862912d9d85Dea6978f117aD92c.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 48246 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 68
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003e19458B2CbF01C3Aab693bF3f2601f0c7309A • 0x0047aB151Dd28862912d9d85Dea6978f117aD92c.
0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c -> 0x0023473070c57667c66846e8766707DF666E2F84 (7 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 2:21:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x003e19458B2CbF01C3Aab693bF3f2601f0c7309A
Net sender
Unknown type
47,446.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0047aB151Dd28862912d9d85Dea6978f117aD92c
Net receiver
Unknown type
47,446.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
Net sender
Unknown type
5,600 QUAI across 7 visible rows
0x0023473070c57667c66846e8766707DF666E2F84
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,600 QUAI across 7 visible rows
0x007a1137012832f2fBbf1d6beDcc6e7af62e623c
Net sender
Unknown type
3,045.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c → 0x0023473070c57667c66846e8766707DF666E2F84
7 repeated flows • 5,600 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
3 tx
624 QUAI • 4 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:20:24 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate4 tx
48,246.18 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:21:40 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:19:13 P.M.
+2 min
8 tx
8,645.63 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:22:59 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:17:57 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
47,444.82 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:24:10 P.M.
-4 min
6 tx
2,400 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:16:46 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
47,561.61 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:25:21 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
47,446.18 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:21:13 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003e19458B2CbF01C3Aab693bF3f2601f0c7309A
To: 0x0047aB151Dd28862912d9d85Dea6978f117aD92c
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
800 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:21:45 P.M.
From: 0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
To: 0x0023473070c57667c66846e8766707DF666E2F84
Tx: 0x00380023c20492ad68799b76882e773d5424a4c3cb7ca1b06e04016c9a5df970
3,045.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:21:44 P.M.
From: 0x007a1137012832f2fBbf1d6beDcc6e7af62e623c
To: 0x0054538BF25E968B2D7e12d7A33C92E0F0e2CC22
Tx: 0x00620048164de9aa6febafc49f03130622d994997cdeee202a21a64ba86a306b
800 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:21:44 P.M.
From: 0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
To: 0x0023473070c57667c66846e8766707DF666E2F84
Tx: 0x002000137d5128cbfe7928b6a7953117d23742614ea1b86631bd6c52e742cc0e
800 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:21:44 P.M.
From: 0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
To: 0x0023473070c57667c66846e8766707DF666E2F84
Tx: 0x0004007116cf2814c4f198e189a60344e0916e119278784e3d941a808e747a21
800 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:21:44 P.M.
From: 0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
To: 0x0023473070c57667c66846e8766707DF666E2F84
Tx: 0x00140066eaf60f16561119fc830ac1a32b9dd1a010640a4cffbadfaf3ab4dbb2
800 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:21:44 P.M.
From: 0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
To: 0x0023473070c57667c66846e8766707DF666E2F84
Tx: 0x0027002e10aa9c7f873c0319e52b132f735728145f329e82d9084001282f2ad1
800 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:21:44 P.M.
From: 0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
To: 0x0023473070c57667c66846e8766707DF666E2F84
Tx: 0x00130078b03b7a01c09e8eb95159678eb5ba09fdaa4cc7c18cd515bff102fdf5
47,446.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:21:13 P.M.
From: 0x003e19458B2CbF01C3Aab693bF3f2601f0c7309A
To: 0x0047aB151Dd28862912d9d85Dea6978f117aD92c
Tx: 0x0041002b1f91c6275dcabef6e8af5c757c319a440b9748fcd9f874487b31ab40
800 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:21:13 P.M.
From: 0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
To: 0x0023473070c57667c66846e8766707DF666E2F84
Tx: 0x004b003d6072a30bf71abe8e5d3778e26f6532445970d33cec8bd8b729cbf658