Spike bucket
09/12/2026, 2:05:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/12/2026, 2:05:00 P.M. to 09/12/2026, 2:06:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 25.94
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 61% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
25.94 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00042ebf5e2dabBb79A67343711A89B76c7D1c49 • 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 26 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00042ebf5e2dabBb79A67343711A89B76c7D1c49 • 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 2:05:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00042ebf5e2dabBb79A67343711A89B76c7D1c49
Net sender
Unknown type
15.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
15.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Net sender
Unknown type
10.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003067b067Cb41FeF60051d26bA4B5b1AaFb3e53
Net receiver
Unknown type
10.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
51 tx
1,012.15 QUAI • 67 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:04:39 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
25.94 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:05:50 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:03:28 P.M.
+2 min
18 tx
466.07 QUAI • 31 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:07:01 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate52 tx
1,922.58 QUAI • 66 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:02:16 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
100 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:08:12 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:00:56 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
204.36 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:09:28 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
15.91 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:05:04 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00042ebf5e2dabBb79A67343711A89B76c7D1c49
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
10.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:05:04 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x003067b067Cb41FeF60051d26bA4B5b1AaFb3e53
Tx: 0x00330062b46afb9f41a8dae8ec384c2f06cb31fa35f1b3d3a38d3dff571d2539
15.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:05:04 P.M.
From: 0x00042ebf5e2dabBb79A67343711A89B76c7D1c49
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0020006c77a6fa792feb80b9ff7855ec4ebc45ca7f59fe4fe81aaed4831906e1