Spike bucket
09/12/2026, 1:53:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/12/2026, 1:53:00 P.M. to 09/12/2026, 1:54:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
80% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 14,500
Unexplained QUAI: 3,559.67
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 59% of explained volume
Relative context
5.0x above local average
3.6x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
18,059.67 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0019F740D9e1602Ce0e5a5da864E50b8d7d5aB61 • 0x000465572160E50fE61CD3bebE1DD37fcB2C6145.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 18060 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0019F740D9e1602Ce0e5a5da864E50b8d7d5aB61 • 0x000465572160E50fE61CD3bebE1DD37fcB2C6145.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 1:53:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0019F740D9e1602Ce0e5a5da864E50b8d7d5aB61
Balanced
Unknown type
13,500 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000465572160E50fE61CD3bebE1DD37fcB2C6145
Net sender
Unknown type
8,500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Net receiver
Unknown type
6,000 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0051fF20Ec61ea03fBB3ED387f37EE9302fcB3B5
Net sender
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate3 tx
18,059.67 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/12/2026, 1:53:21 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/12/2026, 1:52:02 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/12/2026, 1:50:46 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
5,000 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/12/2026, 1:54:37 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
2.45 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/12/2026, 1:55:56 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
6,081 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/12/2026, 1:49:25 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/12/2026, 1:57:11 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/12/2026, 1:48:07 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
8,500 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 1:53:10 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x000465572160E50fE61CD3bebE1DD37fcB2C6145
To: 0x0019F740D9e1602Ce0e5a5da864E50b8d7d5aB61
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
5,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 1:53:42 P.M.
From: 0x0019F740D9e1602Ce0e5a5da864E50b8d7d5aB61
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x00230079f523420253d2d6b322f02476f0ad1bdfe3d8be66b9729b5a67571b72
8,500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 1:53:10 P.M.
From: 0x000465572160E50fE61CD3bebE1DD37fcB2C6145
To: 0x0019F740D9e1602Ce0e5a5da864E50b8d7d5aB61
Tx: 0x00530040b75fd3b05f47b873fc492c7b57eba69bebc1e1a57d186a9646b3b5d2
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 1:53:10 P.M.
From: 0x0051fF20Ec61ea03fBB3ED387f37EE9302fcB3B5
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x0021003025c1aab020c01a1b591eea7bcfc23845dfbb0ad167b9324cd0ae7cac