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Spike bucket

09/12/2026, 11:50:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/12/2026, 11:50:00 A.M. to 09/12/2026, 11:51:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 22,099.54
Unexplained QUAI: 101.64
Explained QI: 700
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
3.8x above local average
11x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
4
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
22,201.17 QUAI
700 QI
Avg confidence
90.5%
Dominant source: address-path-single

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004741D44B7d8f346CBfCbd607E752F423a902E3 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 22201 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004741D44B7d8f346CBfCbd607E752F423a902E3 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c -> 0x00De5858B62c4b82b6514aa393198cC4c34e7612 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: medium • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence medium • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context windowBroad source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 11:50:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x004741D44B7d8f346CBfCbd607E752F423a902E3
Net sender
Unknown type
22,099.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
22,099.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
Net sender
Unknown type
704.34 QI across 3 visible rows
0x00De5858B62c4b82b6514aa393198cC4c34e7612
Net receiver
Unknown type
704.34 QI across 3 visible rows

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c0x00De5858B62c4b82b6514aa393198cC4c34e7612
3 repeated flows700 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 22,099.54 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

4 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 6. The remaining 2 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

22,099.54 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 11:50:49 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004741D44B7d8f346CBfCbd607E752F423a902E3
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

4 transactions
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 11:50:49 A.M.
From: 0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
To: 0x00De5858B62c4b82b6514aa393198cC4c34e7612
Tx: 0x002f0055d042c82328dbcdbd86370cd4b06ed1d52bb911463e53e7abd343dd39
22,099.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 11:50:49 A.M.
From: 0x004741D44B7d8f346CBfCbd607E752F423a902E3
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0015001be622d3777954b1e1a12447114ac4b0020716c97beea0ddade1f056fc
Open txWallet profile
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 11:50:49 A.M.
From: 0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
To: 0x00De5858B62c4b82b6514aa393198cC4c34e7612
Tx: 0x003c001d00373f7889aa2d5f854ec56c37174a1f15f023650b78b0055b593937
4.34 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 11:50:11 A.M.
From: 0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
To: 0x00De5858B62c4b82b6514aa393198cC4c34e7612
Tx: 0x0064009deae57ae469cbd45e5ebd3a3647ffc96cd10208aaad6af56f5c3a0699