Spike bucket
09/12/2026, 10:59:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/12/2026, 10:59:00 A.M. to 09/12/2026, 11:00:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
38% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6
Unexplained QUAI: 10
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
1
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
16 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x003fc66dD1Ff766e8b6AB85e9632efA58bB0ba32.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 16 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x003fc66dD1Ff766e8b6AB85e9632efA58bB0ba32.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 10:59:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (63% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (38%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
6 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x003fc66dD1Ff766e8b6AB85e9632efA58bB0ba32
Net receiver
Unknown type
6 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 6 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 5 addresses
09/12/2026, 10:58:30 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
16 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/12/2026, 10:59:46 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate3 tx
11,904.44 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/12/2026, 10:57:19 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/12/2026, 11:00:57 A.M.
-3 min
9 tx
5,618.26 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/12/2026, 10:56:09 A.M.
+3 min
50 tx
1,093.16 QUAI • 63 addresses
09/12/2026, 11:02:08 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/12/2026, 10:54:58 A.M.
+4 min
53 tx
1,145.13 QUAI • 69 addresses
09/12/2026, 11:03:23 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
6 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 10:59:13 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x003fc66dD1Ff766e8b6AB85e9632efA58bB0ba32
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 10:59:13 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x003fc66dD1Ff766e8b6AB85e9632efA58bB0ba32
Tx: 0x005100479bf100b9a3c1fca9dd5f240f73b230cdcff3fe35640ccf8faea18436