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Spike bucket

09/12/2026, 8:44:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/12/2026, 8:44:00 A.M. to 09/12/2026, 8:45:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,214.35
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 350
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
215.69 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
74.7%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 216 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c -> 0x0083fD0c02980d6AEE652df234Ce175a1bc63aBC (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context windowBroad source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 8:44:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
19,998.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
Net sender
Unknown type
354.37 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0083fD0c02980d6AEE652df234Ce175a1bc63aBC
Net receiver
Unknown type
354.37 QI across 2 visible rows
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
120.9 QUAI across 2 visible rows

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c0x0083fD0c02980d6AEE652df234Ce175a1bc63aBC
2 repeated flows350 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 19,998.66 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

19,998.66 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 8:44:53 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

6 transactions
19,998.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 8:44:53 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006000281d34173e7f63f2d891c20bf9c6acca112c21428c21e7ed3d34e7f8be
Open txWallet profile
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 8:44:53 A.M.
From: 0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
To: 0x0083fD0c02980d6AEE652df234Ce175a1bc63aBC
Tx: 0x00670031a7131296bdabdb4fd8b796cec47a39888e86037fe4ad54b9b3599d4d
51.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 8:44:19 A.M.
From: 0x0007108224CA56878618C2Db91eC6Bf85Cc794bc
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0035004b5504cee90f508bd1cc367c05855463179f8aba0d680afceecb9311be
Open txWallet profile
69.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 8:44:16 A.M.
From: 0x005a41DDD2c055Ba6CaAA3b790A778609F0872C5
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00510034e8b9df7426e481081dd16394fd6340e71fb275c780144db00d3bcdb3
Open txWallet profile
4.37 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 8:44:07 A.M.
From: 0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
To: 0x0083fD0c02980d6AEE652df234Ce175a1bc63aBC
Tx: 0x0033009e900542f0ddb6f5ff431faecd990fa82da7e333818718cc9d58ad5e36
94.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 8:44:07 A.M.
From: 0x0039D9a3D46e4AB0Ca4eb0DCd5489356e23fBD48
To: 0x00187C052330875C6ba37B73cAb56ed3C20F96F8
Tx: 0x004a0001b5150f29fb07fc09e616f5c44bf66cdc9965ef8febb255b470899565