Spike bucket
09/12/2026, 6:26:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/12/2026, 6:26:00 A.M. to 09/12/2026, 6:27:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
50% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,314.01
Unexplained QUAI: 6,261.06
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 23% of explained volume
Relative context
3.7x above local average
43x previous minute
2.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
14
Observable rows
8
57.1% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
26
Asset volume
12,575.07 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x005E46386A499573Fc0d4F122526bdE398DDcF34.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 12575 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x005E46386A499573Fc0d4F122526bdE398DDcF34.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 6:26:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (50% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • observable coverage remains partial (50%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
6,314.01 QUAI across 8 visible rows
Known watch context
0x005E46386A499573Fc0d4F122526bdE398DDcF34
Net sender
Unknown type
1,437.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0076EA0Dd7a69eD5Fb6939D80Def75550182D037
Net sender
Unknown type
1,157.89 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002e219d4DD90Ae25b21E3dc50728D5C70f2Df5A
Net sender
Unknown type
965.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003cF42F6FE36f5eab1e82DF63Ba5b2B94D1977A
Net sender
Unknown type
813.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 6,314.01 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate14 tx
12,575.07 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/12/2026, 6:26:24 A.M.
-1 min
7 tx
292.77 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/12/2026, 6:25:06 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
814 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/12/2026, 6:23:50 A.M.
+2 min
8 tx
6,314.01 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/12/2026, 6:27:40 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
230 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/12/2026, 6:22:33 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/12/2026, 6:28:58 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
4.39 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/12/2026, 6:30:14 A.M.
-5 min
2 tx
7,310.09 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/12/2026, 6:21:15 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,437.29 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 6:26:50 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x005E46386A499573Fc0d4F122526bdE398DDcF34
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
965.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 6:26:50 A.M.
From: 0x002e219d4DD90Ae25b21E3dc50728D5C70f2Df5A
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004f004cdf1c4c4d7f8abe385e3055ff1058cad0e9895cf9baf931de4e89159b
175.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 6:26:50 A.M.
From: 0x007e7eecbe669d04C5687cF90692Bd58554Ed18d
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00170021eea7b18f0841cce5d67b9957de79707ccc1036a43fe0685f6b97de8f
509.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 6:26:50 A.M.
From: 0x007f7d7B1cB860C695ED2eC7BC822Cb8F6A74B28
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0004006b8e2fb647bad4a1510b5cac93c6166d0fb59bdbc0363e187bc1184089
691.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 6:26:50 A.M.
From: 0x007d5c74B3EAdaAD3f0986Ae9D4908d00d07D2AC
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0017002ebe0b8940cf4fb788708cc4b2fa7518936a58ec081bb47b9f01883975
813.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 6:26:50 A.M.
From: 0x003cF42F6FE36f5eab1e82DF63Ba5b2B94D1977A
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0006000e9b88e361de20e41080df997e7eb1cd31d2e997f84ca14fa185180b2d
563.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 6:26:50 A.M.
From: 0x00411C1b51aEC7C8b7F2BB722252ABB6A0DAF086
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003900693a6459684628fae408297d9ec89416736616e2a7259afe80d5b6cc84
1,437.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 6:26:50 A.M.
From: 0x005E46386A499573Fc0d4F122526bdE398DDcF34
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00620044d965266abe59ca7c21894a221abbb48021cc80bc8751b1be0eecb91d
1,157.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 6:26:50 A.M.
From: 0x0076EA0Dd7a69eD5Fb6939D80Def75550182D037
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00740051f7428a7ca80d1a7fa25cde5d9310d1c2595409e929fc2814acdf8737