Spike bucket
09/12/2026, 5:54:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/12/2026, 5:54:00 A.M. to 09/12/2026, 5:55:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 308.44
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 97% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21 • 0x00412C58dDa01c9292D4B066126a0b3693ad8B33.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21 • 0x00412C58dDa01c9292D4B066126a0b3693ad8B33.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 5:54:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21
Net sender
Unknown type
300 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00412C58dDa01c9292D4B066126a0b3693ad8B33
Net receiver
Unknown type
300 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
Net sender
Unknown type
3.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
3.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
Net sender
Unknown type
2.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/12/2026, 5:54:10 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/12/2026, 5:52:55 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
308.44 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/12/2026, 5:55:26 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/12/2026, 5:51:40 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/12/2026, 5:56:42 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
300 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/12/2026, 5:50:24 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/12/2026, 5:58:01 A.M.
-5 min
Best candidate1 tx
500 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/12/2026, 5:49:06 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
300 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 5:54:29 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21
To: 0x00412C58dDa01c9292D4B066126a0b3693ad8B33
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
3.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 5:54:29 A.M.
From: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004e005622a2472685223a8a6afe8a7b07b54ae97121d7504a80390e701e4894
2.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 5:54:29 A.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Tx: 0x0063004f2fdf9a235949f1f8dd0a72d6ac7a41f1e69c19ccb93dab69e405e5d2
300 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 5:54:29 A.M.
From: 0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21
To: 0x00412C58dDa01c9292D4B066126a0b3693ad8B33
Tx: 0x001f0004cba5c18a27cb7a60918588e9be88d044808df36d96b914d80b1f6f7b
2.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 5:54:29 A.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x0015413BF99F3894E32d61D73E67A1E6c327F3D4
Tx: 0x00350032224978c0d469578df406e52388b2097970396e861acaf5a27726621e