Spike bucket
09/12/2026, 3:14:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/12/2026, 3:14:00 A.M. to 09/12/2026, 3:15:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 45,106.01
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 44% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
15
Observable rows
15
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 15 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 3:14:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 15 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
16,078.74 QUAI across 9 visible rows
0x004fDaE1eab82e3cEf1F3CA96eAD1990777a18d9
Net sender
Unknown type
10,493.65 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,967.55 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 4,060.65 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:14:04 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
15,744.63 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:12:45 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate16 tx
45,495.99 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:15:26 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
1,616.69 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:11:19 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
2,505.58 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:16:45 A.M.
-4 min
21 tx
14,430.83 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:09:56 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
11,466.1 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:18:04 A.M.
-5 min
8 tx
4,323.44 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:08:37 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.07 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:14:35 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
15 transactions
1,947.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:14:54 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007Cc9f8E4B5741DbCB2efc1540e83e948164487
Tx: 0x003a00642e54ca39a88668a44c514ce778fa5dff49eab5fbcb7f1c3ec4724b24
444.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:14:54 A.M.
From: 0x006d1fC143dFCdF9ac3Fda355d662fCef82d4168
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002b006239a4a43e10043b9588cb14c3096668996cd891eb8afea2cb7753a890
3,277.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:14:54 A.M.
From: 0x0078D27e875EFE426ea36388E4E30033E3c6Df4b
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0019006829d5fbae0b376ca9b54b2076bc365f3a4df09b8934c0119b6345361f
339.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:14:54 A.M.
From: 0x0073ddd9467522F7EC4f2f32bd9C47aa5Cd4BC31
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00650057407b9b8e229d97b301aac4c1854037b1c4e50f5f7c0d0d05823141d3
3,020.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:14:35 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007C324612C259c8591f52DA8C11B5B44Bd83F73
Tx: 0x002f00316cab9f99a7cc9ea641b60d6f92e04ea9a2f0cd70547b033dbc3f1219
1,086.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:14:35 A.M.
From: 0x000CDB0223e19ab0957b5F1f6Cde7EE7B5e2141e
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00670005e548acb0022fe853f9608bf913cc3cf6fc5cde10b22abc1353a1c5b9
18.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:14:35 A.M.
From: 0x000Ddec2aDbe15C20b25198596a3BfB0DD59f973
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x007000394a3e99923fe795e2ec4f08fae3fda3691c95d85bc1d539737b838839
10,493.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:14:35 A.M.
From: 0x004fDaE1eab82e3cEf1F3CA96eAD1990777a18d9
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004f0074c3bc9a30b65b6409a65be02a88d1296309073aabba0ae8d350086124
470.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:14:35 A.M.
From: 0x004b24261E537dE9fC1759aC11a635A4299C9C05
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0074000b4a75cc5fd52dec1452212dd7db0bec64955c1963c8f8e05c97de5d9e
1,013.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:14:35 A.M.
From: 0x006e783E57a1cDF3A65eeF2e23cdD6a53F587Ae3
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0046001d17bd1dffbebc1e61be505adf26192874e18bdeaaca4a203eb12d0898
1,703.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:14:35 A.M.
From: 0x004E24C5DD33FB5f4865e26F8BB891beF3347e4D
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0049007eef15fa4ce8936e64b8b81d20e821bea56cf7fa510ac43b8c05c9f606
19,999.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:14:35 A.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x000400211ab56dcad946fb4bd4ba648a8e04f9bab3f1962766eff0e85abbbb40
940.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:14:35 A.M.
From: 0x004c743D3E0B878965Def9Fa7F7A56b7d4E087dA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000800578c74f18ea925c65afd65df1cba55704037c58620d479d25b9c3d4594
299.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:14:35 A.M.
From: 0x0051f76a4F4c62452cd811A54153fE7df762425b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00460019d1d1c50067756d3034e57e0c8bfbcf8ff8c3bb53efde416d9642acb3
50.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:14:35 A.M.
From: 0x0038acFC0be9cD4D20F49c0bF2934618bD993a03
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x007f00773f3356b00893d3b92bf13c9fd886d8e4a971a1e0c192cf1ce9da7fdd
