Spike bucket
09/12/2026, 3:05:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/12/2026, 3:05:00 A.M. to 09/12/2026, 3:06:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
39% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,726.83
Unexplained QUAI: 7,276.61
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 58% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
0.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
56
Observable rows
6
10.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
70
Asset volume
12,003.44 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x0078D27e875EFE426ea36388E4E30033E3c6Df4b.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 12003 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x0078D27e875EFE426ea36388E4E30033E3c6Df4b.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 3:05:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (61% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (39%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
4,345.27 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0078D27e875EFE426ea36388E4E30033E3c6Df4b
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,746.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007590604B15235E365DF00570CDb50D3edEE76d
Net receiver
Unknown type
808.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0078a54E77a2557fBb06A66D410eFeAf2a99e4b8
Net receiver
Unknown type
790.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
381.57 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
10 tx
4,255.88 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:04:46 A.M.
+1 min
56 tx
12,003.44 QUAI • 70 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:05:57 A.M.
-2 min
71 tx
37,943.28 QUAI • 83 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:03:22 A.M.
+2 min
7 tx
3,807.57 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:07:18 A.M.
-3 min
56 tx
4,029.62 QUAI • 67 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:02:10 A.M.
-4 min
8 tx
13,794.34 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:00:57 A.M.
+4 min
8 tx
4,323.44 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:08:37 A.M.
-5 min
Best candidate22 tx
43,570.73 QUAI • 35 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:59:36 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,746.21 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:05:53 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0078D27e875EFE426ea36388E4E30033E3c6Df4b
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
2,746.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:05:53 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0078D27e875EFE426ea36388E4E30033E3c6Df4b
Tx: 0x004f003a2534568999d402e515be67520535b8025fff6a263ab4dc8bda737614
130.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:05:53 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00642D2262D69db4298a178870e37B19F341fedB
Tx: 0x00700028185b398a70d8e5175ba8448a86ba1822913d1bed18cad07bc0ae0208
790.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:05:27 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0078a54E77a2557fBb06A66D410eFeAf2a99e4b8
Tx: 0x002100796e40638c76725a43efaadeecf000bc96309bf9827bc0853b375432cf
128.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:05:27 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x006423A5E5f51916c158a0C2047fA2f091eDF35D
Tx: 0x000b0039b25419c318b9fe436e65caa53ef9bda7eaa180d7223f11df272117d4
122.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:05:02 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00641b564408D937179203D09C1754D867Af6527
Tx: 0x0017005f9fb735e58c72256aa90d2f99db8d0dd98257960899dc86ea6bfe6480
808.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:05:02 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x007590604B15235E365DF00570CDb50D3edEE76d
Tx: 0x0008004ae066e8c2074bf8460e1a5a599f73b3269bb856ce04bc6828e4425387