Spike bucket
09/12/2026, 3:03:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/12/2026, 3:03:00 A.M. to 09/12/2026, 3:04:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
18% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,748.27
Unexplained QUAI: 31,195.01
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 33% of explained volume
Relative context
2.5x above local average
9.4x previous minute
8.9x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
71
Observable rows
8
11.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
83
Asset volume
37,943.28 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 37943 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 32
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 3:03:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (82% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (18%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
3,416.57 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
3,264.42 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00625f252d5A4780be2505d35a0Db8648700e94D
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,234.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006ff87EEfb83a33245692fEE7017B1c599dcc40
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,699.87 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006E6D7EC2BB958447Ed039c290a333165667D8F
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,597.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
71 tx
37,943.28 QUAI • 83 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:03:22 A.M.
-1 min
56 tx
4,029.62 QUAI • 67 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:02:10 A.M.
-2 min
8 tx
13,794.34 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:00:57 A.M.
+2 min
10 tx
4,255.88 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:04:46 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate22 tx
43,570.73 QUAI • 35 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:59:36 A.M.
+3 min
56 tx
12,003.44 QUAI • 70 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:05:57 A.M.
+4 min
7 tx
3,807.57 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/12/2026, 3:07:18 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:58:14 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,234.63 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:03:16 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00625f252d5A4780be2505d35a0Db8648700e94D
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
56.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:03:40 A.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Tx: 0x004f0071d79ac253b561fb896a1d9b0496050dc2f19fb0fa7d693f4d3ca69619
1,699.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:03:40 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006ff87EEfb83a33245692fEE7017B1c599dcc40
Tx: 0x004f000a00a76803efa0ace8689d65b47dfcb59f14d6a68456e1ce23018e1069
914.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:03:40 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00628BF61B02ba4a9b3C5e3C4d13D53Dc70B8038
Tx: 0x004b002f1ce8f98a9bb99e6103cafb94972e92b1e76d6b94a1e1a2c45e596b1d
118.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:03:16 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006Fcd686531c454E984F46f8CC57f77361D9a11
Tx: 0x007a0063b2703819dba9f8126f2ff01f6a41f967d5f641f8518265992776dae2
2,234.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:03:16 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00625f252d5A4780be2505d35a0Db8648700e94D
Tx: 0x00700041494f6e809f88be2140f38b9e7e66faffb2d535706dbeefc34de6664c
10.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:03:09 A.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x003067b067Cb41FeF60051d26bA4B5b1AaFb3e53
Tx: 0x001800394b1d5a342f1406434da7bc1272adcf77c20e85c751c461a11c092540
1,597.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:03:09 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006E6D7EC2BB958447Ed039c290a333165667D8F
Tx: 0x0025005ef1eb256408d5313053eb913195b79437c5e0f46bed262a55541e0d51
115.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 3:03:09 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x006200b5Bf4f35f2d793382eC2AFF48a2895a5A7
Tx: 0x004b0048a717066901fc1e95a8c848c89fe8af08e909e1ad8bb05635f1f76290