Spike bucket
09/12/2026, 2:49:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/12/2026, 2:49:00 A.M. to 09/12/2026, 2:50:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 27,163.75
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 39% of explained volume
Relative context
1.0x above local average
1.8x previous minute
0.6x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
8
72.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
26
Asset volume
16,691.66 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x004fDaE1eab82e3cEf1F3CA96eAD1990777a18d9.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 16692 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x004fDaE1eab82e3cEf1F3CA96eAD1990777a18d9.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 2:49:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
18,018.65 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x004fDaE1eab82e3cEf1F3CA96eAD1990777a18d9
Net receiver
Unknown type
10,494.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
9,145.1 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x004Bf2F5479D958937fDC59149c69A6d3f3Aac07
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,650.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004f5F31A33044bda14eBeD4b620CC4332150Fe4
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,232.38 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
11 tx
16,691.66 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:49:05 A.M.
-1 min
8 tx
9,449.28 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:47:46 A.M.
+1 min
10 tx
28,372.27 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:50:25 A.M.
-2 min
6 tx
6,750.7 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:46:34 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate20 tx
33,201.83 QUAI • 34 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:51:45 A.M.
-4 min
19 tx
27,830.58 QUAI • 32 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:45:14 A.M.
+4 min
11 tx
15,184.66 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:52:57 A.M.
-5 min
4 tx
1,190.7 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:43:54 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
10,494.72 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:49:57 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004fDaE1eab82e3cEf1F3CA96eAD1990777a18d9
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
2,917.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:49:57 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004bF31105dDb4957562d8FF9ed07460215A20ca
Tx: 0x0007005f0f3d7e831a57c79e5e354eab87b7aee8e8478753155f20e41ba1018d
10,494.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:49:57 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004fDaE1eab82e3cEf1F3CA96eAD1990777a18d9
Tx: 0x0077002b143894150109d57f144ee684bd930b12dda522c137a3229ebdf83f95
5,650.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:49:49 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004Bf2F5479D958937fDC59149c69A6d3f3Aac07
Tx: 0x00590065e3f1b0833205dbbbabf43915f63d0262315a960e951d49daccf32650
586.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:49:49 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004f8411bABfC122BB6CD9665C885D4e049ED49f
Tx: 0x002e00130598ea79dcc6b157be305bb14d2f1ec6e2c8fbaabe109703f3a20fb8
5,232.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:49:42 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004f5F31A33044bda14eBeD4b620CC4332150Fe4
Tx: 0x006c000b2f014767e6b45ca77631f160e2d3337bb138793c6747b425b3210076
105.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:49:42 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004bCdE3e02aD0C5c5aC33eF98b864dcC82cD661
Tx: 0x001b0072ac785cba8a8ba2acdf3e3090c8c038257ccb2a8c67dbe8f8570dbdee
1,704.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:49:10 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004E24C5DD33FB5f4865e26F8BB891beF3347e4D
Tx: 0x003a0042beacd83010d8e89bdd2da69797fdb5daf6298648a295d9172d9820f0
471.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:49:10 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004b24261E537dE9fC1759aC11a635A4299C9C05
Tx: 0x004600572e1417ff6e38114f2a958d3808336b084620da7ac7006d2261ed6a6c
