Spike bucket
09/12/2026, 2:43:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/12/2026, 2:43:00 A.M. to 09/12/2026, 2:44:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,190.7
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 45% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
2.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
1,190.7 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x0044CC6785AD1166177A3D26cb3CF23122792138.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1191 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x0044CC6785AD1166177A3D26cb3CF23122792138.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 2:43:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
955.77 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0044CC6785AD1166177A3D26cb3CF23122792138
Net receiver
Unknown type
533.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004447F6E93A4D5A22dE8Ab22CE0C58E4d01471F
Net receiver
Unknown type
422.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
234.92 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x003F08D446081727C9324D3A618109CF05AaC075
Net receiver
Unknown type
131.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
9,078.14 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:42:33 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
1,190.7 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:43:54 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
601 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:41:16 A.M.
+2 min
19 tx
27,830.58 QUAI • 32 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:45:14 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate21 tx
31,463.21 QUAI • 37 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:39:58 A.M.
-4 min
9 tx
3,523.2 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:38:41 A.M.
+4 min
6 tx
6,750.7 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:46:34 A.M.
+5 min
8 tx
9,449.28 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:47:46 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
533.48 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:43:41 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0044CC6785AD1166177A3D26cb3CF23122792138
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
533.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:43:41 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0044CC6785AD1166177A3D26cb3CF23122792138
Tx: 0x0049000e679c43915465ef8a97e1b5c7dccb4433de6d85ede854416e41cd2300
131.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:43:41 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003F08D446081727C9324D3A618109CF05AaC075
Tx: 0x007d006a3d0aff2091484e0e817860b12d1d109d61cd6dc8c58dd1cb29c47766
422.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:43:12 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004447F6E93A4D5A22dE8Ab22CE0C58E4d01471F
Tx: 0x006d0072362d78067522298672fa333eb1ed8568fa6efb578c395a8d8102da16
103.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:43:12 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003E0506Ab19f0dE7B61C120102cF640F48Db51d
Tx: 0x0053005878e1f4845b5b06e767552284792ad5ecfe9b741bcc5ba4762320ca01