Spike bucket
09/12/2026, 2:38:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/12/2026, 2:38:00 A.M. to 09/12/2026, 2:39:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
20% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 708.05
Unexplained QUAI: 2,815.15
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 70% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
2
22.2% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
3,523.2 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00398bEFa5CA1Cd3A4e4F5A657A3B8C8d50128F7.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 3523 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00398bEFa5CA1Cd3A4e4F5A657A3B8C8d50128F7.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 2:38:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (80% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (20%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
496.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00398bEFa5CA1Cd3A4e4F5A657A3B8C8d50128F7
Net receiver
Unknown type
496.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
211.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004003427678c4BdB9B86d27a7a9b6569D85A263
Net receiver
Unknown type
211.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
12 tx
14,147.62 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:37:23 A.M.
+1 min
9 tx
3,523.2 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:38:41 A.M.
-2 min
10 tx
27,627.14 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:36:03 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate21 tx
31,463.21 QUAI • 37 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:39:58 A.M.
-3 min
16 tx
7,398.96 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:34:42 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
601 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:41:16 A.M.
-5 min
30 tx
29,817.73 QUAI • 43 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:33:21 A.M.
+5 min
4 tx
9,078.14 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:42:33 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
496.39 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:38:13 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00398bEFa5CA1Cd3A4e4F5A657A3B8C8d50128F7
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
496.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:38:13 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00398bEFa5CA1Cd3A4e4F5A657A3B8C8d50128F7
Tx: 0x005c007c21ed02d735acd0ba76ce003bff4092a2d4a8a8a8fa4849180f55e833
211.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:38:13 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004003427678c4BdB9B86d27a7a9b6569D85A263
Tx: 0x00590052d64a636fe7b73b27444f46c06debbcb89996200d0573c4cbcd95af97