Spike bucket
09/12/2026, 2:37:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/12/2026, 2:37:00 A.M. to 09/12/2026, 2:38:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
29% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,123.41
Unexplained QUAI: 10,024.2
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 26% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
0.5x previous minute
4.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
12
Observable rows
10
83.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
29
Asset volume
14,147.62 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 14148 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 2:37:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (71% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (29%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,891.85 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,680.04 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00398071350FB6D60588fb47364fd9933bB9F997
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,083.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003cEe495B0e567616aF202314b78c9596453303
Net receiver
Unknown type
791.76 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003C4b509ce7beBB39a2A6Dd588902528956d087
Net receiver
Unknown type
702.38 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
12 tx
14,147.62 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:37:23 A.M.
-1 min
10 tx
27,627.14 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:36:03 A.M.
-2 min
16 tx
7,398.96 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:34:42 A.M.
+2 min
9 tx
3,523.2 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:38:41 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate21 tx
31,463.21 QUAI • 37 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:39:58 A.M.
-4 min
30 tx
29,817.73 QUAI • 43 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:33:21 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
601 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:41:16 A.M.
-5 min
12 tx
8,313.74 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:32:06 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,083.53 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:37:46 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00398071350FB6D60588fb47364fd9933bB9F997
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
1,083.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:37:46 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00398071350FB6D60588fb47364fd9933bB9F997
Tx: 0x0024004326131e3571bf00adb7f47d1a7d3d053ac63b4d40663fb8e41b7546da
180.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:37:46 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x007c36aFFd5462Bd7aA58D497830Ff9Ed86f5656
Tx: 0x0073005e4bd1478321e26dd40d9fb055c4a21c953ae32a14ab7cb5d203156e69
185.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:37:46 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003FbeBABE706A63091341247DB77adEAb5f44c6
Tx: 0x0009000247572723182b0304b4886ae86077a675dc04a63c2c109b11e892bc85
791.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:37:36 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003cEe495B0e567616aF202314b78c9596453303
Tx: 0x0041002321911062798e966a6844e5dc24de9d2ee2307f4d5f4da1efe21b8308
350.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:37:36 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00387aF4e7716a65D78748bB9f520e39B09a185D
Tx: 0x005a003aaaed51f26963c0e2b9611d89b44d641ba47fa014c15d76781bb151f4
110.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:37:36 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x007C3141e22eFb3D184EBdD4aA039d476fa1DE43
Tx: 0x002f0065550b62c8dce3f54f39370a3585981959f862b1edfcfca9362204dd6a
112.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:37:36 A.M.
From: 0x0034C40f37805Ac8b83396Eeb1a3930a5181c5c6
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x0019007dff693e8802a6688671bb8c68a529402b91e039a6fb802bd0ffedac0f
702.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:37:12 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003C4b509ce7beBB39a2A6Dd588902528956d087
Tx: 0x00010039720f5676a6a005b93034f0dc0eeee5a6de3fc4b39b1f54afd67fc6c6
147.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:37:12 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x007A4d520a7eCDe384f6F3FCA494EFDB16DA54C5
Tx: 0x007b00065c4ee42f6c2a904d9bf4674739469bdebf01473a1afc5a5ca82583d5
457.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:37:12 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00385AE34cE18C52D03Dc1C6B091E15976f4377E
Tx: 0x000d007a158700747ab0cb5f39b733e49c0b7609f299296b5508c4fce1a51f07