Spike bucket
09/12/2026, 2:34:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/12/2026, 2:34:00 A.M. to 09/12/2026, 2:35:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
45% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,295.45
Unexplained QUAI: 4,103.51
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 24% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
16
Observable rows
8
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
30
Asset volume
7,398.96 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x006B2D6e1424bC02db1691625CbdAfCD97f89366.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 7399 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x006B2D6e1424bC02db1691625CbdAfCD97f89366.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 2:34:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (55% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (45%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,357.3 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x006B2D6e1424bC02db1691625CbdAfCD97f89366
Net sender
Unknown type
796.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00049a00891BDcD33305a535A34051F1aCcE5b10
Net sender
Unknown type
647.88 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
449.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0036F1BFd8Bd051fE67e15B44a7A7B086b0A00BD
Net receiver
Unknown type
449.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate30 tx
29,817.73 QUAI • 43 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:33:21 A.M.
+1 min
16 tx
7,398.96 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:34:42 A.M.
-2 min
12 tx
8,313.74 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:32:06 A.M.
+2 min
10 tx
27,627.14 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:36:03 A.M.
-3 min
8 tx
6,000.56 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:30:43 A.M.
+3 min
12 tx
14,147.62 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:37:23 A.M.
-5 min
13 tx
12,747.1 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:29:23 A.M.
+5 min
9 tx
3,523.2 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:38:41 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
921.36 QUAI
Whale alertPersisted Alert
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:35:00 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
449.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:34:23 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0036F1BFd8Bd051fE67e15B44a7A7B086b0A00BD
Tx: 0x00550025844add9fde6ecfab4f65c8dc20be09cb3a613605b4bd8d80c3be5e5d
371.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:34:23 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0034F71E0b2B37467BEc63dfE5ae1F5065c297C3
Tx: 0x004200183ace0ee4f3afd22760a03b08a3f4cd6fc602222d6d772eea872b9e6d
116.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:34:23 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x006c9d5Df104e4E6612510Cb732e9140632592e7
Tx: 0x006a002c30425d894226e5e5e36055a1d66a2057091cdb854ba163fcbb6114c7
184.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:34:23 A.M.
From: 0x00001EB5178B1AD51b45Fe5686d1525B6E8eDbBD
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001800468122389cf504de29bea6f837fad5cb41ed4092c357945a983e5f390c
357.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:34:23 A.M.
From: 0x0000f98e42a7E6D1C3e6eEce33A7202cCF6C597b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0039001f50478617a96979255f12cce065ceac466307f4a819e2772939dc911b
370.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:34:23 A.M.
From: 0x00001F89242De86f43840E10678c0e36CcF7E590
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0056002e2e72fdfb571ff4d27b30b13d0708f16b90748fc355ff3307dad339e8
796.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:34:23 A.M.
From: 0x006B2D6e1424bC02db1691625CbdAfCD97f89366
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004300214a567005d4b2c42376bbddde9854daaf006aeb7758d5f72fb5a22f15
647.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:34:23 A.M.
From: 0x00049a00891BDcD33305a535A34051F1aCcE5b10
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x006a002779b0e3e0ebbab83ec9a0111234db465b58b5d86a5837a4e51ba4679d
