Spike bucket
09/12/2026, 2:30:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/12/2026, 2:30:00 A.M. to 09/12/2026, 2:31:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
91% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,484.52
Unexplained QUAI: 516.04
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 30% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
10
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
6,000.56 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00276941B5a553Fc2EE2c452B9264f08A81B4bCA.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 6001 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00276941B5a553Fc2EE2c452B9264f08A81B4bCA.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 2:30:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
3,336.37 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00276941B5a553Fc2EE2c452B9264f08A81B4bCA
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,649.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,300.97 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x002bad26037037A45dcFaa331D8EA957A8AFf12B
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,073.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002E825b4AC890AD61FdaA2205CF518E501f5deE
Net receiver
Unknown type
713.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
13 tx
12,747.1 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:29:23 A.M.
+1 min
8 tx
6,000.56 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:30:43 A.M.
-2 min
27 tx
25,233.57 QUAI • 41 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:28:03 A.M.
+2 min
12 tx
8,313.74 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:32:06 A.M.
-3 min
13 tx
10,736.47 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:26:50 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate30 tx
29,817.73 QUAI • 43 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:33:21 A.M.
-4 min
24 tx
9,727.96 QUAI • 35 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:25:30 A.M.
+5 min
16 tx
7,398.96 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:34:42 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,649.48 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:30:00 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00276941B5a553Fc2EE2c452B9264f08A81B4bCA
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
116.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:30:56 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002F6B7309F8d28cF7da67fda5040581Ef27fd87
Tx: 0x006b0025d9303b5c4ecb7be07e9d890e0c002d3b3ced595b896cbe546500d814
170.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:30:56 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0058b70bA143A711E425E495C9f07309453b4130
Tx: 0x004a004639354ba31e86e7e91d86ea33146653460e794c9ee1568cd04740f9d5
1,073.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:30:56 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002bad26037037A45dcFaa331D8EA957A8AFf12B
Tx: 0x002d0043f178535e38b933d898958340027775bed61be19e30f9b93d4722d489
613.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:30:48 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0028379b254697F901EDeFc2E5f4bE459a47Bdcb
Tx: 0x005f00186bd893ae42956f1b9f20670f6e003fe3df85b6899e74157bc090d2c6
713.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:30:48 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002E825b4AC890AD61FdaA2205CF518E501f5deE
Tx: 0x001d0061feefe6220aca70075256afbb9fb2a140b7c307cad8f46b7827aef193
237.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:30:48 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0055BEA689FD0d99a5f69b06E8a14907ED2350A1
Tx: 0x00730041e739b9971d903f49e7c7c4ad9a152d2bced9152c118f0d6c2621372b
1,649.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:30:00 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00276941B5a553Fc2EE2c452B9264f08A81B4bCA
Tx: 0x001300775d9de97d3eefbfa740a7dbc268d148c6995b84df38164cb57d20de80
471.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:30:00 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002E5fD51069dFbafDAC79B490aD988d03EF0671
Tx: 0x0032005a98ee4622f25afbf2fd7fff48c93b3e7fbbfe81135ca274a275ce6c14
138.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:30:00 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x005288a8802115b5733Fe16b36cf6b6fAEeeB314
Tx: 0x00010013be459c8a86460295dfcffe85153888a97ecbd6860416cce514ecac12
300 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:30:00 A.M.
From: 0x006bBB685B1DD695Fd6428e07Cf78ddb3dCB1D08
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0001006a678fab8a5f6be7e2a65508a257385ffbe601b7123cf002b2059c92a1