Spike bucket
09/12/2026, 2:27:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/12/2026, 2:27:00 A.M. to 09/12/2026, 2:28:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,952.45
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 27% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.6x previous minute
0.2x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
5,952.45 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004d46bb973CF4160C95cd8F88cbDDb581201Dfe • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 5952 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004d46bb973CF4160C95cd8F88cbDDb581201Dfe • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 2:27:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004d46bb973CF4160C95cd8F88cbDDb581201Dfe
Balanced
Unknown type
2,200 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,761.48 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0027C4183365a2f3d6d21EF640abBa0F144f03aA
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,629.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,278.99 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004020d9829d2bE4a822D3A109362f020Ba22f5D
Net sender
Unknown type
1,200 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
13 tx
10,736.47 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:26:50 A.M.
-1 min
24 tx
9,727.96 QUAI • 35 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:25:30 A.M.
+1 min
27 tx
25,233.57 QUAI • 41 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:28:03 A.M.
+2 min
13 tx
12,747.1 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:29:23 A.M.
-3 min
10 tx
6,208.64 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:24:19 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
4,825.96 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:23:00 A.M.
+4 min
8 tx
6,000.56 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:30:43 A.M.
-5 min
Best candidate34 tx
64,957.44 QUAI • 49 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:21:37 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,629.37 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:27:34 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0027C4183365a2f3d6d21EF640abBa0F144f03aA
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
351.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:27:34 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0024A7C887159Ccd5d9C9208671BfaA0A01919E7
Tx: 0x005d0039f6cabbc4b428a867cc2911503d232fbd296ec493fdd7ece6858bd0fa
1,629.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:27:34 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0027C4183365a2f3d6d21EF640abBa0F144f03aA
Tx: 0x0055007c0a246cf15dec8c482a47e3ac714c7567895169b782dabb8c69a873e3
125.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:27:34 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x004d7d37b5d2E79BcFA4bd9588f41E039c50Cf72
Tx: 0x00190003cb7ffe3a0162e0c745a4f657ae51de9b21ce9da48e2acc40c5905e83
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:27:34 A.M.
From: 0x004d46bb973CF4160C95cd8F88cbDDb581201Dfe
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x001000432f3092ec89277a98a910339c0a32ff9203e8be5779971f68121418f5
132.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:27:08 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00279149c2f7c3783737B79597A7Ceb558D12241
Tx: 0x00500017fe0208828a9924b7737393baa2a04e89b4a4e220bbea65e2202cb1ca
586.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:27:08 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x004d0Edc831bF62375a7b8D3e7DC0F1914eE8d21
Tx: 0x0066004959ed965ea885303ed66b2b3eccff1fdd341f34ab4407982c6ff4eff0
927.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:27:08 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0024410419bDd1Fb06f22Dc7eA09fcBeE2fA2FE6
Tx: 0x003c007f5fe667966e1924aaa54675372ad21579448cee933ecdab317f311a37
1,200 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:27:08 A.M.
From: 0x004020d9829d2bE4a822D3A109362f020Ba22f5D
To: 0x004d46bb973CF4160C95cd8F88cbDDb581201Dfe
Tx: 0x006d00027fb7262137632a4bc8756730d3273eb099a497bc211de14b790069c5