Spike bucket
09/12/2026, 2:23:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/12/2026, 2:23:00 A.M. to 09/12/2026, 2:24:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
66% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,197.5
Unexplained QUAI: 1,628.46
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 27% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.1x previous minute
0.8x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
4,825.96 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 4826 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 2:23:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (34% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,707.62 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
945.57 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0018530005Ed21fa8787f9b5C2552944Bba0e81c
Net receiver
Unknown type
865.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0018e45de2522b2806B9ac345ab81F4cDD8B7693
Net receiver
Unknown type
842.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
544.31 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
4,825.96 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:23:00 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate34 tx
64,957.44 QUAI • 49 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:21:37 A.M.
+1 min
10 tx
6,208.64 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:24:19 A.M.
-3 min
12 tx
8,290.52 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:20:25 A.M.
+3 min
24 tx
9,727.96 QUAI • 35 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:25:30 A.M.
-4 min
20 tx
15,118.04 QUAI • 34 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:19:05 A.M.
+4 min
13 tx
10,736.47 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:26:50 A.M.
-5 min
9 tx
14,337.25 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:17:45 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
865.32 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:23:03 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0018530005Ed21fa8787f9b5C2552944Bba0e81c
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
430.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:23:29 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0018D0731a03516ed085a9Ea043A7912c23d9A7D
Tx: 0x000000119ec5082e5358b5e60df62bf04f817f344a57a6620ecd5830708c64a2
404.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:23:29 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0027a5bC35F2EA14fB6427668a2233eE5DDE73bD
Tx: 0x00710047c944f2a4496dcdf56bb28d0eece63bef7feda7fdb88da71073120f5b
842.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:23:29 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0018e45de2522b2806B9ac345ab81F4cDD8B7693
Tx: 0x00110047994d58e04c73b2210345d33ff4b73fef20321ef6d2bac6967a80b06f
114.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:23:03 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0017438536777eC422ebc63AB1d7095B2e53E140
Tx: 0x002a007509abd95de8f586708725dba0338d94de1de5b4551dfe55e08b27b610
540.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:23:03 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00273ceF172f5449057ef36B1f4A4D211caF4Ea5
Tx: 0x006c0045427b3e85804da374c4c3ada975fa84880e09b2655a627256565a15f8
865.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:23:03 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0018530005Ed21fa8787f9b5C2552944Bba0e81c
Tx: 0x0025007dbd74ed96bb176bea49e8c948165cd107dd8fc96c1b3abe84cfb5b8ba