Spike bucket
09/12/2026, 2:20:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/12/2026, 2:20:00 A.M. to 09/12/2026, 2:21:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 48,871.62
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 41% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
0.5x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
12
Observable rows
19
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
25
Asset volume
8,290.52 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 8291 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 19 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 2:20:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 19 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
30,679.33 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
10,304.34 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Kryptex miner
Net sender
Miner wallet
6,224.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
6,112.11 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 30,679.33 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
12 tx
8,290.52 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:20:25 A.M.
-1 min
20 tx
15,118.04 QUAI • 34 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:19:05 A.M.
-2 min
9 tx
14,337.25 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:17:45 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate34 tx
64,957.44 QUAI • 49 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:21:37 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
4,825.96 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:23:00 A.M.
-4 min
11 tx
28,466.95 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:16:26 A.M.
+4 min
10 tx
6,208.64 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:24:19 A.M.
-5 min
13 tx
3,308.09 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:15:06 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.61 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:20:45 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
19 transactions
133.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:20:45 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x001D178A66d7EbC378401ea4a3d37B0ec6AC4CEf
Tx: 0x003a000e03dd8b2a32a980a6975cbb95e57f34115c7ff90736b3c0e3c69d4012
514.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:20:45 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0012aCB04cf313559cE86E8378458619c8f7Bc49
Tx: 0x007e0033c663c967b8aa1824ff641768031a727a08c124a95d701cf8a43f1b01
1,509.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:20:45 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40
Tx: 0x0032001740d1a5af16930ff8b4c7a3df056da6ff8ce0b1e9f2373e388ca873e3
6,224.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:20:45 A.M.
From: Kryptex miner
0x0005295193e50b568595266A48Bbbb842313a99f
Miner wallet
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004f0076c103c4492435f7da4fe83d02871eb12229f35cbf2f2298d7390575d4
19,998.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:20:45 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0027002cb97dd815074a74402b8f7d0c421f0a34866132b7b62a209b3c443282
1,229.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:20:45 A.M.
From: 0x00056f3CDE0d646b12E7e38122fEbcC884E8d0c5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000800684b1e4b991ec67633cff57a73873c121fccabf45010ed31a29b6d3e09
3,226.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:20:45 A.M.
From: 0x0062559949F61D88913436195d9200Ed39e7B967
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007b0057fba5036d2de9b4f61ba5289d407a3914d0ee10739aff29033df631aa
3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:20:45 A.M.
From: 0x00563398094f4f76080020F85E364c4F2241729B
To: 0x0062559949F61D88913436195d9200Ed39e7B967
Tx: 0x002e007aa2ea223ee09ba8984a436593494de86d2c0822d04a4fcd60c90072a9
380 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:20:45 A.M.
From: 0x003e1B19572926A2EcA6375FBB0A42Ba9E49485e
To: 0x0019Ea305Ed264c9128dEf73C93682F8764e6091
Tx: 0x000f0014c26eea97118af7eff5a9e2b464d491cfca36c84f1d83b78a8c3e6992
5,618.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:20:24 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: Kryptex miner
0x00129B31bE5e7Fd995d595581aaF441dd8347D3a
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x0072004b5de4316c4b41333ff6aba367c4ccd6f3ffaac92a68cd8fa3f6786042
429.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:20:24 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000F79dd294ee84748fb65F770369D067a8c5370
Tx: 0x0050001bc4976699a7aff242dde7c3bf055a7f1d26d39824661a9a701c3e53af
167.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:20:24 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x001959127B1297f6bE9BD34a157Bb060aC7964D2
Tx: 0x00090037835912c599153f4c4fb6b00f206128737b23751e5590e236443ea7cf
869.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:20:16 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: Kryptex miner
0x00187D46385A4cfd2dFb129faCc878cF10Ee0ABd
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x001c00685a134ad46b1ddb0297e097f34c7d0898aa1598a4e00fb08f765daebb
3,628.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:20:16 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: Kryptex miner
0x00113779F529bf3CDeb13526dBa2de336e8C7dfb
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x00780008bc8396191a5cf81eeee6311f009b4dae737c9a8639e77ed6f5fb48ae
1,697.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:20:16 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000e8704A804059C06b693799e1b8cee7DA78161
Tx: 0x0018004c79209e4b4807ac62cdf5ab1c0a70045f8e3a8c0a69c9a67e45b8003a
160.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:20:05 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x001850bE349df62074bCd203EF2529446E413C57
Tx: 0x00400058a6d8b748937ac8f731aa7cfab90aa3ce50b5fb6e861ca0175036754c
542.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:20:05 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00108E95e48EDa116826bd70039F9c48690b10BB
Tx: 0x0020004ebe23f3099ccd183e79f2dc6fe9f066cfe48adacb71379028f182a57c
2,475.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:20:05 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000d68124bC98629019B4f2e533F2Dc03575edc1
Tx: 0x007a0068a97bd916cbd6702f5e103b687a38943704b04db56f2e9b2f7dd9ab29
61.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:20:05 A.M.
From: 0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
To: 0x000446a4e3a7fE6B42aBfC13876aF8f64b8F57fA
Tx: 0x000e0016431b6df4bfae7ce8ed848645984e538b572a5ea93afc86e0027e933a
