Spike bucket
09/12/2026, 2:19:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/12/2026, 2:19:00 A.M. to 09/12/2026, 2:20:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
33% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,050.76
Unexplained QUAI: 10,067.28
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 72% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
1.1x previous minute
1.8x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
20
Observable rows
8
40.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
34
Asset volume
15,118.04 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 15118 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 2:19:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (67% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (33%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
3,755.56 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,648.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
656.99 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000C98f8B3680A25CdBD4F5d0aF59b9fd0b83026
Net receiver
Unknown type
524.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000053177CA489a839d9D735D497C97b8D9d6E0A
Net sender
Unknown type
322.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
20 tx
15,118.04 QUAI • 34 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:19:05 A.M.
-1 min
9 tx
14,337.25 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:17:45 A.M.
+1 min
12 tx
8,290.52 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:20:25 A.M.
-3 min
11 tx
28,466.95 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:16:26 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate34 tx
64,957.44 QUAI • 49 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:21:37 A.M.
-4 min
13 tx
3,308.09 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:15:06 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
4,825.96 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:23:00 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:13:47 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,648.05 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:19:50 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
3,648.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:19:50 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40
Tx: 0x003f0008588c79b0e171a7d79bbc7bdac817a9cadf6f9a59641f764421012f48
146.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:19:50 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0017b28940Ce577b74bbdCbB84c4398b24a80741
Tx: 0x006a0002bc169dcaf1896e712cce25017dc419aa5bad1ca98ea72c8097806b61
132.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:19:50 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000d0c11B58e7EC222F200e47C974dc2a574B25b
Tx: 0x0003007407a4b0ab0b88a7972e586456876250d221d5a0fa037cf8e5144d892a
66.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:19:50 A.M.
From: 0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
To: 0x005a41DDD2c055Ba6CaAA3b790A778609F0872C5
Tx: 0x0074006a433abc2379c6e2f6c458f23a11307e6b362ac5c2dfbf109982a3aee9
107.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:19:00 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000F912f5517aa0b1D91a012A34FA0782559be19
Tx: 0x0003000d73e10a5b97602acd04481b41ed48effc235f67f16fb8d58a911175ec
524.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:19:00 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000C98f8B3680A25CdBD4F5d0aF59b9fd0b83026
Tx: 0x00190005fe633bbbc22bcdfd0c399936f93e31283bac11136121a6f7a490186a
103.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:19:00 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0016154D1B3876BE37A9f1cacE692108f18F7Ec3
Tx: 0x0021007fcc0f7beb87a2408758508028e841ff76a823d06585c013e119323b25
322.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:19:00 A.M.
From: 0x000053177CA489a839d9D735D497C97b8D9d6E0A
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x0003007d5a263d49a5c6c3ed489bfb6e6a3f45c13af9e85abf779eebb603993f
