Spike bucket
09/12/2026, 2:08:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/12/2026, 2:08:00 A.M. to 09/12/2026, 2:09:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,396.07
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 4.45
Unexplained QI: 345.55
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 98% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
35x previous minute
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
798 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
67.4%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 798 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 2:08:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
20,307.95 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
Net sender
Unknown type
107.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004D1D330eB95CFdec44062D314fb261C154C4A1
Net sender
Unknown type
101.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0064Fbd982e770771641bb82F5961e900E3Bda88
Net sender
Unknown type
100.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 20,307.95 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
798 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:08:28 A.M.
-1 min
5 tx
22.85 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:07:10 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate4 tx
21,990.12 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:05:51 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
20,396.07 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:09:47 A.M.
-3 min
44 tx
961.83 QUAI • 56 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:04:31 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
3.24 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:11:06 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:12:28 A.M.
-5 min
52 tx
1,104.74 QUAI • 65 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:03:20 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.61 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:08:42 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
84.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:08:47 A.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x00427b38053EE7aFF320dEa9a0B9CC5fA4cDEB5C
Tx: 0x00390039614d733713783a5057518d5e038e4d2846d456458072dbf63ed87ea0
19,998.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:08:42 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005f00146557a7b724c6fdab06df8a61e99b06d63228db81b4d5955baec1853e
100.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:08:42 A.M.
From: 0x0064Fbd982e770771641bb82F5961e900E3Bda88
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0027004ffa9789f4b44766f0e564b9619f099ec03198d0e29169f02fe202cd2f
101.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:08:42 A.M.
From: 0x004D1D330eB95CFdec44062D314fb261C154C4A1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0068004b793558e2514430907306d25288ddb37e7659eeb49463083f2f84b9ba
107.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:08:42 A.M.
From: 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0050006773a4c8b5f5c60d2d6c9c421cc29b5fce87c7fdac462a173ad977f653
3.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:08:20 A.M.
From: 0x00563398094f4f76080020F85E364c4F2241729B
To: 0x0062559949F61D88913436195d9200Ed39e7B967
Tx: 0x002800217a972cbd269dbece77cca57d3965cf5543c51e49ec318c05a21a191b
4.45 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:08:09 A.M.
From: 0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
To: 0x0083fD0c02980d6AEE652df234Ce175a1bc63aBC
Tx: 0x003200cdccbbc622224b55821a5ea6b0f6b73af19a75c06298d8a97592966f39