Spike bucket
09/12/2026, 2:03:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/12/2026, 2:03:00 A.M. to 09/12/2026, 2:04:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
4% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 47.88
Unexplained QUAI: 1,056.85
Explained QI: 350
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 94% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.4x previous minute
1.1x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
52
Observable rows
3
5.8% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
65
Asset volume
1,104.74 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
74.7%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c • 0x00d3640AE75435444FA160cb6dce76Dc900BB694.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 1105 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c • 0x00d3640AE75435444FA160cb6dce76Dc900BB694.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 2:03:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (96% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (4%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
Net sender
Unknown type
350 QI across 1 visible row
0x00d3640AE75435444FA160cb6dce76Dc900BB694
Net receiver
Unknown type
350 QI across 1 visible row
0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
Net sender
Unknown type
45.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004d281D4Dc01786AfE8b24AaC0c07336F0D175e
Net receiver
Unknown type
45.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
Net sender
Unknown type
2.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
52 tx
1,104.74 QUAI • 65 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:03:20 A.M.
-1 min
54 tx
2,973.27 QUAI • 68 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:02:08 A.M.
-2 min
6 tx
500 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:00:54 A.M.
+2 min
44 tx
961.83 QUAI • 56 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:04:31 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/12/2026, 1:59:39 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate4 tx
21,990.12 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:05:51 A.M.
+4 min
5 tx
22.85 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/12/2026, 2:07:10 A.M.
-5 min
5 tx
1 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/12/2026, 1:58:21 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
350 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:03:42 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
To: 0x00d3640AE75435444FA160cb6dce76Dc900BB694
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:03:42 A.M.
From: 0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
To: 0x00d3640AE75435444FA160cb6dce76Dc900BB694
Tx: 0x003700371cb2e1e95b7d564da274f979b46f3aaa1c8cbfbafc3850a46494360c
2.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:03:42 A.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
Tx: 0x0042004386498ad95345d57ecec16a2d19d55e9a6c53dc2010bf6b5619495643
45.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 2:03:42 A.M.
From: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
To: 0x004d281D4Dc01786AfE8b24AaC0c07336F0D175e
Tx: 0x00290037e1c3efe6d584bb30d0b6fd60374ea4dcabcc986b6430d58e43079e0d