Spike bucket
09/12/2026, 12:53:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/12/2026, 12:53:00 A.M. to 09/12/2026, 12:54:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
6% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4.47
Unexplained QUAI: 76.33
Explained QI: 350
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
2
33.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
80.8 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
81.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c • 0x0097e146d261330a371efD27655944C57e18226d.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 81 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c • 0x0097e146d261330a371efD27655944C57e18226d.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 12:53:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (94% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (6%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
Net sender
Unknown type
350 QI across 1 visible row
0x0097e146d261330a371efD27655944C57e18226d
Net receiver
Unknown type
350 QI across 1 visible row
0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
Net sender
Unknown type
4.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
Net receiver
Unknown type
4.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/12/2026, 12:52:27 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
80.8 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/12/2026, 12:53:46 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
100.56 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/12/2026, 12:51:08 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/12/2026, 12:55:01 A.M.
-3 min
5 tx
116.75 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/12/2026, 12:49:52 A.M.
+3 min
6 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/12/2026, 12:56:17 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate4 tx
5,101.02 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/12/2026, 12:48:34 A.M.
+5 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/12/2026, 12:57:36 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
350 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 12:53:27 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
To: 0x0097e146d261330a371efD27655944C57e18226d
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
4.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 12:53:27 A.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
Tx: 0x000e007b96054a26c8c3150e53ed5a5e206f6a33851d0bab0abb97817a98c875
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 12:53:27 A.M.
From: 0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
To: 0x0097e146d261330a371efD27655944C57e18226d
Tx: 0x007a0027daa7a02baa587b0a3aa18ee5ac0c139bd373d46b7559104a892f2955
