Spike bucket
09/12/2026, 12:44:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/12/2026, 12:44:00 A.M. to 09/12/2026, 12:45:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,150.97
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 350
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
4
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
267.83 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
81.0%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 268 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c -> 0x00fA9c5a84db632853E9e26cDD3960ac87B597a7 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: medium • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence medium • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 12:44:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
20,150.97 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.59 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
Net sender
Unknown type
354.45 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00fA9c5a84db632853E9e26cDD3960ac87B597a7
Net receiver
Unknown type
354.45 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006E92101Ae392b68cC5c7932365f2F87033c331
Net sender
Unknown type
152.38 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c → 0x00fA9c5a84db632853E9e26cDD3960ac87B597a7
2 repeated flows • 350 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 20,150.97 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/12/2026, 12:43:28 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
267.83 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/12/2026, 12:44:47 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
1 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/12/2026, 12:42:12 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate5 tx
20,150.97 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/12/2026, 12:46:03 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/12/2026, 12:40:53 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
249.12 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/12/2026, 12:47:18 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
19,999.04 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/12/2026, 12:39:34 A.M.
+5 min
4 tx
5,101.02 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/12/2026, 12:48:34 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.59 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 12:44:41 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
4.45 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 12:44:49 A.M.
From: 0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
To: 0x00fA9c5a84db632853E9e26cDD3960ac87B597a7
Tx: 0x003c00f0d7ee1c72b4331b32912eb0c23464117a0ac7a22d419e05431f5af5a1
152.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 12:44:41 A.M.
From: 0x006E92101Ae392b68cC5c7932365f2F87033c331
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00420001b9648bcd94b76852b5324beb90075374be5f39f33d0e53a07bf7aab2
19,998.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 12:44:41 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007300089d267614bbf51ad5b7c069a288df2a8abeae7b8db2a03eb6b5074edc
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 12:44:31 A.M.
From: 0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
To: 0x00fA9c5a84db632853E9e26cDD3960ac87B597a7
Tx: 0x0043001a78ccb03e87dd30f815366011842c98e8112f1f69f87a995a552cef26
