Spike bucket
09/12/2026, 12:17:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/12/2026, 12:17:00 A.M. to 09/12/2026, 12:18:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
49% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 54.52
Unexplained QUAI: 57.71
Explained QI: 350
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
2.1x above local average
0.7x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
3
75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
112.23 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
87.3%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c • 0x00DDB45D04c5A0D0fcB37489f04aD48725aAE34E.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 112 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c • 0x00DDB45D04c5A0D0fcB37489f04aD48725aAE34E.
0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c -> 0x00DDB45D04c5A0D0fcB37489f04aD48725aAE34E (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/12/2026, 12:17:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (51% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (49%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
Net sender
Unknown type
354.46 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00DDB45D04c5A0D0fcB37489f04aD48725aAE34E
Net receiver
Unknown type
354.46 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
Net sender
Unknown type
54.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005Cb547f0aCfAaeCB6d9b932b9d00CDDd98ef43
Net receiver
Unknown type
54.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c → 0x00DDB45D04c5A0D0fcB37489f04aD48725aAE34E
2 repeated flows • 350 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate5 tx
158.65 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/12/2026, 12:16:24 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
112.23 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/12/2026, 12:17:40 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/12/2026, 12:15:08 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/12/2026, 12:18:58 A.M.
-3 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/12/2026, 12:13:53 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/12/2026, 12:20:17 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/12/2026, 12:12:37 A.M.
+5 min
4 tx
158.2 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/12/2026, 12:21:36 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
350 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 12:17:43 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
To: 0x00DDB45D04c5A0D0fcB37489f04aD48725aAE34E
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 12:17:43 A.M.
From: 0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
To: 0x00DDB45D04c5A0D0fcB37489f04aD48725aAE34E
Tx: 0x0055002f7dbbc4f1d0ad9c66939b6db93eb911065767d9a987a2cbf5228492e0
4.46 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 12:17:06 A.M.
From: 0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
To: 0x00DDB45D04c5A0D0fcB37489f04aD48725aAE34E
Tx: 0x002f00a03fa4a88f404eb77a6acd7a50130c02a3580fcaf7c1c975563e73c0de
54.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/12/2026, 12:17:06 A.M.
From: 0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
To: 0x005Cb547f0aCfAaeCB6d9b932b9d00CDDd98ef43
Tx: 0x0016004a7b5faffa44dea96fe57d3ac62abe84fc64dd119991ef422df8b62907