Spike bucket
09/11/2026, 3:04:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/11/2026, 3:04:00 P.M. to 09/11/2026, 3:05:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
12% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 145.17
Unexplained QUAI: 1,097.74
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 51% of explained volume
Relative context
2.3x above local average
11x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
52
Observable rows
3
5.8% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
64
Asset volume
1,242.91 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x0003CA8c382Df2689cee94B297dDffC573E30121.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 1243 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x0003CA8c382Df2689cee94B297dDffC573E30121.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/11/2026, 3:04:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (88% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (12%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
80.39 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0003CA8c382Df2689cee94B297dDffC573E30121
Net sender
Unknown type
74.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Net sender
Unknown type
64.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Net receiver
Unknown type
64.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006cc975514614e26d6C80DA85b887b6e22f6130
Net sender
Unknown type
6.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
117.7 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/11/2026, 3:03:21 P.M.
+1 min
52 tx
1,242.91 QUAI • 64 addresses
09/11/2026, 3:04:34 P.M.
-2 min
50 tx
901.31 QUAI • 61 addresses
09/11/2026, 3:02:10 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
64.79 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/11/2026, 3:05:50 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/11/2026, 3:00:58 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate34 tx
1,988.9 QUAI • 51 addresses
09/11/2026, 3:07:02 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 6 addresses
09/11/2026, 2:59:47 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
3.19 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/11/2026, 3:08:15 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
74.28 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 3:04:11 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0003CA8c382Df2689cee94B297dDffC573E30121
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
64.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 3:04:52 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Tx: 0x0006002942c40c25cc761265fa363b2245b00a8f0dd9dab944d57a66f3aed395
74.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 3:04:11 P.M.
From: 0x0003CA8c382Df2689cee94B297dDffC573E30121
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000e00148a168fba1ec2cb9991306dd75ecfb734e83869eccd05583eb5d64e59
6.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 3:04:11 P.M.
From: 0x006cc975514614e26d6C80DA85b887b6e22f6130
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003c001ee652dc416db3d78e93940f1606c9baf19095d2aa4e0382b01116f8a4