Spike bucket
09/11/2026, 1:24:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/11/2026, 1:24:00 P.M. to 09/11/2026, 1:25:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
71% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 145.42
Unexplained QUAI: 58.1
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 16% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
15
Observable rows
11
73.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
27
Asset volume
203.52 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00042ebf5e2dabBb79A67343711A89B76c7D1c49.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 204 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00042ebf5e2dabBb79A67343711A89B76c7D1c49.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/11/2026, 1:24:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (29% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
145.42 QUAI across 11 visible rows
0x00042ebf5e2dabBb79A67343711A89B76c7D1c49
Net sender
Unknown type
23.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007114Cc7beEb377eC72cd2C5717Bbf2dbf56e78
Net sender
Unknown type
22.09 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
Net sender
Unknown type
18.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00066741f695e71E8745E667645044989d5C7Af1
Net sender
Unknown type
14.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/11/2026, 1:23:43 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/11/2026, 1:22:31 P.M.
+1 min
15 tx
203.52 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/11/2026, 1:24:55 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/11/2026, 1:26:06 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
10 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/11/2026, 1:21:20 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
505 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/11/2026, 1:27:17 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/11/2026, 1:20:07 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate1 tx
1,000 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/11/2026, 1:18:56 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
23.62 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 1:24:12 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00042ebf5e2dabBb79A67343711A89B76c7D1c49
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
5.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 1:24:12 P.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003e003a986b3328b6a19f1888fca97a10eac4e4bcc91d734d2d753e0e3fcce9
4.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 1:24:12 P.M.
From: 0x005d21cF46a3a97FeDc9324E7A41fB5b5fe48274
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001d00473a2d50829439a79ee7774085268cbed37df115611c9b6286018b5a07
18.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 1:24:12 P.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004100404df67544ed62fa97612c297abdd3e936bccceeba0f3fa400a4415465
23.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 1:24:12 P.M.
From: 0x00042ebf5e2dabBb79A67343711A89B76c7D1c49
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000d0041b1d3479e79c00683a87a10daa8f12045de470d4e1d17023482658176
12.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 1:24:12 P.M.
From: 0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00320005395a942211aac7c3edd6c1c51ede5284e17245d778144302f3663e2d
10.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 1:24:12 P.M.
From: 0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0045004ce9a324f5b963d63949f612e7a7dddfa1e6e9c6de6c7e1670a0602219
13.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 1:24:12 P.M.
From: 0x006cc975514614e26d6C80DA85b887b6e22f6130
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001f005ee2cd81afad9a87b98a757bf6cadfa0206ded0e5e1e816272bb11afa5
22.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 1:24:12 P.M.
From: 0x007114Cc7beEb377eC72cd2C5717Bbf2dbf56e78
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004700419e858a9434a9336a97fd6c66ef656242617d4b6fa89997a788a7df96
9.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 1:24:12 P.M.
From: 0x006F2F0D653D2014b7fFe399619D58cBb38B7ACb
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001c00555e47f18175b7ec1d5dd9eb8b2d0db9ddbf027c35d133ef70bbaa6020
14.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 1:24:12 P.M.
From: 0x00066741f695e71E8745E667645044989d5C7Af1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x002900305205500b8ec179519f082f733d09f9649dde9c547e5ae71c36aad636
10.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 1:24:12 P.M.
From: 0x00585160E8466d30d02Bb3b2fBE7d929ac62D556
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005a002190b872f033a3ab48bd2470d9116086b7d698c4ccb21f9cf7318d42a1