Spike bucket
09/11/2026, 12:06:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/11/2026, 12:06:00 P.M. to 09/11/2026, 12:07:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 19,318.89
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00230718C8a7718Fd7ACCC99Cf515d0CcD22df09.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00230718C8a7718Fd7ACCC99Cf515d0CcD22df09.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/11/2026, 12:06:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Balanced
Unknown type
19,300.94 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00230718C8a7718Fd7ACCC99Cf515d0CcD22df09
Net receiver
Unknown type
9,652.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
9,648.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Net sender
Unknown type
16.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Net receiver
Unknown type
16.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 9,648.08 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
32 tx
1,851.69 QUAI • 42 addresses
09/11/2026, 12:05:16 P.M.
+1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/11/2026, 12:06:32 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/11/2026, 12:04:03 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate4 tx
19,318.89 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/11/2026, 12:07:45 P.M.
-3 min
52 tx
5,527.95 QUAI • 68 addresses
09/11/2026, 12:02:51 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
10.11 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/11/2026, 12:08:57 P.M.
-4 min
50 tx
837.02 QUAI • 64 addresses
09/11/2026, 12:01:30 P.M.
+4 min
5 tx
429.5 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/11/2026, 12:10:08 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
9,652.86 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 12:06:52 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00230718C8a7718Fd7ACCC99Cf515d0CcD22df09
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
9,652.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 12:06:52 P.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00230718C8a7718Fd7ACCC99Cf515d0CcD22df09
Tx: 0x007b00517bc760b8b32eda69023a0d425cf2901b43ae115a1b6217df1b643770
16.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 12:06:35 P.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x006300004dbcf33e74159c39f9a0a5cd49cf38dc352a90f32825b6ae9a2fb20f
9,648.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 12:06:35 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x00340033f5363bf9215aebe337d34bc0499fefd09184bf7ec3057ac163cd694f
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 12:06:35 P.M.
From: 0x00206EA94ab4D72E1df29382Ed3F447F10674A61
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0074005687d61b563150d8b7b2ee6da517b0c9185d6a7a0df1e437c0591b26d0