Spike bucket
09/11/2026, 6:45:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/11/2026, 6:45:00 A.M. to 09/11/2026, 6:46:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 14,088.22
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 57% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
81.65 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 82 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/11/2026, 6:45:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
14,088.22 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7
Net sender
Unknown type
7,999.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0005fB9fd7Ef35F82cbdbD687d0a823d53bb12a8
Net sender
Unknown type
5,985.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002d8f38990b571B026d0Ff3905E481069Aae023
Net sender
Unknown type
103.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 14,088.22 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
81.65 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/11/2026, 6:45:20 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
11,369.3 QUAI • 6 addresses
09/11/2026, 6:44:09 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
151.95 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/11/2026, 6:42:59 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate3 tx
14,088.22 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/11/2026, 6:46:31 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
58.25 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/11/2026, 6:41:48 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
334.48 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/11/2026, 6:47:42 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
317.39 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/11/2026, 6:40:37 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
11,279.56 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/11/2026, 6:48:55 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
7,999.54 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 6:45:30 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
7,999.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 6:45:30 A.M.
From: 0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001e0064acfdb200ec8c8de0732178d66c23acc7a3dcd268d3c72d68391f07c3
5,985.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 6:45:30 A.M.
From: 0x0005fB9fd7Ef35F82cbdbD687d0a823d53bb12a8
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001a003f95a2e9095bc822739e05c428aa38b8703ca52c82b269813213314e22
103.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 6:45:30 A.M.
From: 0x002d8f38990b571B026d0Ff3905E481069Aae023
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002d00120a2c3736b2db6ed5688a77d176997d2d35da68c7ba9cd2dad8de44cf